Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for Lai Ching-te remaining Taiwan's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting the Democratic Progressive Party leader's entrenched position amid structural barriers to removal. Opposition Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party lawmakers, holding a slim Legislative Yuan majority, initiated impeachment proceedings in December 2025 with public hearings in January 2026 over alleged constitutional violations, but lacked the three-fourths supermajority required to advance to the Constitutional Court, stalling the effort. Ongoing gridlock has blocked Lai's defense spending hikes, yet he continues official duties, including chairing the Healthy Taiwan Promotion Committee on March 5, with no verified health issues, resignation signals, or scandals gaining traction to alter this stability before his May 2028 term ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$23,984 Vol.
$23,984 Vol.
2026/12/31
はい
$23,984 Vol.
$23,984 Vol.
2026/12/31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for Lai Ching-te remaining Taiwan's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting the Democratic Progressive Party leader's entrenched position amid structural barriers to removal. Opposition Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party lawmakers, holding a slim Legislative Yuan majority, initiated impeachment proceedings in December 2025 with public hearings in January 2026 over alleged constitutional violations, but lacked the three-fourths supermajority required to advance to the Constitutional Court, stalling the effort. Ongoing gridlock has blocked Lai's defense spending hikes, yet he continues official duties, including chairing the Healthy Taiwan Promotion Committee on March 5, with no verified health issues, resignation signals, or scandals gaining traction to alter this stability before his May 2028 term ends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日： Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
音量
$23,984終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for Lai Ching-te remaining Taiwan's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting the Democratic Progressive Party leader's entrenched position amid structural barriers to removal. Opposition Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party lawmakers, holding a slim Legislative Yuan majority, initiated impeachment proceedings in December 2025 with public hearings in January 2026 over alleged constitutional violations, but lacked the three-fourths supermajority required to advance to the Constitutional Court, stalling the effort. Ongoing gridlock has blocked Lai's defense spending hikes, yet he continues official duties, including chairing the Healthy Taiwan Promotion Committee on March 5, with no verified health issues, resignation signals, or scandals gaining traction to alter this stability before his May 2028 term ends.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$23,984終了日
2026/12/31マーケット開始日
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices "No" at 87% for Lai Ching-te remaining Taiwan's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting the Democratic Progressive Party leader's entrenched position amid structural barriers to removal. Opposition Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party lawmakers, holding a slim Legislative Yuan majority, initiated impeachment proceedings in December 2025 with public hearings in January 2026 over alleged constitutional violations, but lacked the three-fourths supermajority required to advance to the Constitutional Court, stalling the effort. Ongoing gridlock has blocked Lai's defense spending hikes, yet he continues official duties, including chairing the Healthy Taiwan Promotion Committee on March 5, with no verified health issues, resignation signals, or scandals gaining traction to alter this stability before his May 2028 term ends.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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