Market icon
世界·中国

台湾のチョ・ジョンタイ首相は... ？

Market icon
世界·中国

台湾のチョ・ジョンタイ首相は... ？

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

6月30日

$0 Vol.

11%

12月31日

$0 Vol.

41%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai survived a no-confidence motion in the Legislative Yuan on May 28, 2024, when opposition Kuomintang (KMT, 52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP, 8 seats) mustered only 54 votes, short of the 57 needed for passage amid DPP's minority government (51 seats). This outcome stabilized his position under President Lai Ching-te, but legislative gridlock persists with recent disputes over 2025 budget cuts targeting executive agencies and stalled reforms on China policy and transparency. Traders monitor TPP's swing role, potential KMT-TPP unity on future motions, and upcoming sessions on budget implementation or cross-strait issues, which could prompt renewed no-confidence efforts absent major scandals or defections.

Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai survived a no-confidence motion in the Legislative Yuan on May 28, 2024, when opposition Kuomintang (KMT, 52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP, 8 seats) mustered only 54 votes, short of the 57 needed for passage amid DPP's minority government (51 seats). This outcome stabilized his position under President Lai Ching-te, but legislative gridlock persists with recent disputes over 2025 budget cuts targeting executive agencies and stalled reforms on China policy and transparency. Traders monitor TPP's swing role, potential KMT-TPP unity on future motions, and upcoming sessions on budget implementation or cross-strait issues, which could prompt renewed no-confidence efforts absent major scandals or defections.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cho Jung-tai ceases to be Premier of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Cho Jung-tai's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cho Jung-tai and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai survived a no-confidence motion in the Legislative Yuan on May 28, 2024, when opposition Kuomintang (KMT, 52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP, 8 seats) mustered only 54 votes, short of the 57 needed for passage amid DPP's minority government (51 seats). This outcome stabilized his position under President Lai Ching-te, but legislative gridlock persists with recent disputes over 2025 budget cuts targeting executive agencies and stalled reforms on China policy and transparency. Traders monitor TPP's swing role, potential KMT-TPP unity on future motions, and upcoming sessions on budget implementation or cross-strait issues, which could prompt renewed no-confidence efforts absent major scandals or defections.

Taiwan's Premier Cho Jung-tai survived a no-confidence motion in the Legislative Yuan on May 28, 2024, when opposition Kuomintang (KMT, 52 seats) and Taiwan People's Party (TPP, 8 seats) mustered only 54 votes, short of the 57 needed for passage amid DPP's minority government (51 seats). This outcome stabilized his position under President Lai Ching-te, but legislative gridlock persists with recent disputes over 2025 budget cuts targeting executive agencies and stalled reforms on China policy and transparency. Traders monitor TPP's swing role, potential KMT-TPP unity on future motions, and upcoming sessions on budget implementation or cross-strait issues, which could prompt renewed no-confidence efforts absent major scandals or defections.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「台湾のチョ・ジョンタイ首相は... ？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「12月31日」で41%、次いで「6月30日」が11%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、41¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に41%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「台湾のチョ・ジョンタイ首相は... ？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Jan 13, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「台湾のチョ・ジョンタイ首相は... ？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「台湾のチョ・ジョンタイ首相は... ？」の現在のフロントランナーは「12月31日」で41%であり、市場がこの結果に41%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「6月30日」で11%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「台湾のチョ・ジョンタイ首相は... ？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。