Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) confirm a maximum temperature of 85°F on April 3, 2026, recorded at 12:15 PM amid warm, humid conditions with light rain, fog, and haze, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome on Polymarket. This exceeded the climatological average high of 77°F, supported by model forecasts from NOAA predicting mid-80s peaks under a ridge of high pressure before an approaching cold front and severe storms increased cloud cover and precipitation later in the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but official NWS reports provide robust verification, with minimal divergence from nearby Intercontinental Airport's 84°F high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 3?
84-85°F 100.0%
78-79°F 3.5%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
$73,508 Vol.
$73,508 Vol.
2026/04/03
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
Yes
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
84-85°F 100.0%
78-79°F 3.5%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
$73,508 Vol.
$73,508 Vol.
2026/04/03
73°F or below
$1,828 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$1,636 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$4,163 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$8,491 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$5,867 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$8,467 Vol.
No
84-85°F
$14,995 Vol.
Yes
86-87°F
$4,889 Vol.
No
88-89°F
$8,547 Vol.
No
90-91°F
$12,272 Vol.
No
92°F or higher
$2,352 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) confirm a maximum temperature of 85°F on April 3, 2026, recorded at 12:15 PM amid warm, humid conditions with light rain, fog, and haze, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome on Polymarket. This exceeded the climatological average high of 77°F, supported by model forecasts from NOAA predicting mid-80s peaks under a ridge of high pressure before an approaching cold front and severe storms increased cloud cover and precipitation later in the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but official NWS reports provide robust verification, with minimal divergence from nearby Intercontinental Airport's 84°F high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
音量
$73,508終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) confirm a maximum temperature of 85°F on April 3, 2026, recorded at 12:15 PM amid warm, humid conditions with light rain, fog, and haze, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome on Polymarket. This exceeded the climatological average high of 77°F, supported by model forecasts from NOAA predicting mid-80s peaks under a ridge of high pressure before an approaching cold front and severe storms increased cloud cover and precipitation later in the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but official NWS reports provide robust verification, with minimal divergence from nearby Intercontinental Airport's 84°F high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$73,508終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET提案された結果: Yes
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: Yes
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Houston's William P. Hobby Airport (KHOU) confirm a maximum temperature of 85°F on April 3, 2026, recorded at 12:15 PM amid warm, humid conditions with light rain, fog, and haze, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for the 84-85°F outcome on Polymarket. This exceeded the climatological average high of 77°F, supported by model forecasts from NOAA predicting mid-80s peaks under a ridge of high pressure before an approaching cold front and severe storms increased cloud cover and precipitation later in the day. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality control—such as sensor recalibrations—but official NWS reports provide robust verification, with minimal divergence from nearby Intercontinental Airport's 84°F high.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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