In the open-seat Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District on May 19, trader consensus favors Rob Adkerson at 53% implied probability, driven by his role as retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk's chief of staff and early endorsement from Loudermilk on February 24, alongside backing from former Rep. Bob Barr and Senate Majority Leader Jason Anavitarte. Tricia Pridemore trails at 37.5%, bolstered by her Georgia Public Service Commission tenure since 2018 and endorsements from ex-Gov. Nathan Deal and Newt Gingrich, following her February 17 announcement to leave the PSC. Adkerson's March 31 launch of attacks highlighting rivals' past anti-Trump stances has solidified his edge among GOP base voters in this R+12 district, with a potential June 16 runoff looming if no candidate exceeds 50%. No public polling exists, underscoring the crowded field's reliance on endorsements and fundraising momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
GA-11 Republican Primary Winner
Tricia Pridemore 34%
Lisa Carlquist 32.9%
Chris Mora 32.6%
John Hobbs 32%
Tricia Pridemore
41%
Lisa Carlquist
33%
Chris Mora
33%
John Hobbs
32%
John Cowan
26%
William Brown
3%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
2%
Rob Adkerson
37%
Tricia Pridemore 34%
Lisa Carlquist 32.9%
Chris Mora 32.6%
John Hobbs 32%
Tricia Pridemore
41%
Lisa Carlquist
33%
Chris Mora
33%
John Hobbs
32%
John Cowan
26%
William Brown
3%
Uloma Ekpete Kama
2%
Rob Adkerson
37%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Mar 20, 2026, 2:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the open-seat Republican primary for Georgia's 11th Congressional District on May 19, trader consensus favors Rob Adkerson at 53% implied probability, driven by his role as retiring incumbent Barry Loudermilk's chief of staff and early endorsement from Loudermilk on February 24, alongside backing from former Rep. Bob Barr and Senate Majority Leader Jason Anavitarte. Tricia Pridemore trails at 37.5%, bolstered by her Georgia Public Service Commission tenure since 2018 and endorsements from ex-Gov. Nathan Deal and Newt Gingrich, following her February 17 announcement to leave the PSC. Adkerson's March 31 launch of attacks highlighting rivals' past anti-Trump stances has solidified his edge among GOP base voters in this R+12 district, with a potential June 16 runoff looming if no candidate exceeds 50%. No public polling exists, underscoring the crowded field's reliance on endorsements and fundraising momentum.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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