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政治·プライマリ

CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者

マニー・ルティネル 75%

シャノン・バード 23%

ヤディラ・カラヴェオ 1.7%

ジョン・セムラー <1%

Polymarket
新規

マニー・ルティネル 75%

シャノン・バード 23%

ヤディラ・カラヴェオ 1.7%

ジョン・セムラー <1%

Polymarket
新規

マニー・ルティネル

$6,968 Vol.

75%

シャノン・バード

$926 Vol.

23%

ヤディラ・カラヴェオ

$346 Vol.

2%

ジョン・セムラー

$403 Vol.

1%

アミー・バカ＝オーラート

$626 Vol.

1%

デイブ・ヤング

$556 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's commanding 75% implied probability in the CO-08 Democratic primary stems from his strong performance at the March 28-29 Democratic state assembly in Pueblo, where he secured ballot access via 30%+ delegate support—unlike rivals Shannon Bird and others who petitioned—signaling insider party backing. His April 2 announcement of $950,000 raised in Q1 from 60,000 donors underscores fundraising dominance, while NRCC opposition research released March 9 backfired by elevating his frontrunner status. Former Rep. Shannon Bird holds 23.5% with endorsements like Majority Leader Monica Duran’s and a record as Colorado’s most effective lawmaker, but trails in momentum. Incumbent GOP Rep. Gabe Evans holds the battleground seat; ballots mail June 8 ahead of the June 30 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,826
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.State Rep. Manny Rutinel's commanding 75% implied probability in the CO-08 Democratic primary stems from his strong performance at the March 28-29 Democratic state assembly in Pueblo, where he secured ballot access via 30%+ delegate support—unlike rivals Shannon Bird and others who petitioned—signaling insider party backing. His April 2 announcement of $950,000 raised in Q1 from 60,000 donors underscores fundraising dominance, while NRCC opposition research released March 9 backfired by elevating his frontrunner status. Former Rep. Shannon Bird holds 23.5% with endorsements like Majority Leader Monica Duran’s and a record as Colorado’s most effective lawmaker, but trails in momentum. Incumbent GOP Rep. Gabe Evans holds the battleground seat; ballots mail June 8 ahead of the June 30 primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$9,826
終了日
2026/06/30
マーケット開始日
Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CO-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 30, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上の6個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「マニー・ルティネル」で75%、次いで「シャノン・バード」が23%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Nov 25, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている6個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の現在のフロントランナーは「マニー・ルティネル」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「シャノン・バード」で23%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「CO -08民主党予備選挙優勝者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。