State Rep. Manny Rutinel leads trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising dominance—over $2.5 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—outpacing former Rep. Shannon Bird's $1.2 million raised. Analysts describe a two-way race, with Rutinel consolidating support amid Bird's recent scrutiny over her state legislative votes on immigration bills reported March 24. Incumbent Yadira Caraveo withdrew last September, relegating her to 2.3%, while others trail due to minimal resources. Ballots mail June 8; no public polls have emerged post-filing deadline March 17.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日マニー・ルティネル 73%
シャノン・バード 21%
ヤディラ・カラヴェオ 1.9%
ジョン・セムラー 1.8%
マニー・ルティネル
73%
シャノン・バード
25%
ヤディラ・カラヴェオ
2%
ジョン・セムラー
2%
アミー・バカ=オーラート
1%
デイブ・ヤング
1%
マニー・ルティネル 73%
シャノン・バード 21%
ヤディラ・カラヴェオ 1.9%
ジョン・セムラー 1.8%
マニー・ルティネル
73%
シャノン・バード
25%
ヤディラ・カラヴェオ
2%
ジョン・セムラー
2%
アミー・バカ=オーラート
1%
デイブ・ヤング
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日: Nov 25, 2025, 4:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...State Rep. Manny Rutinel leads trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability to win Colorado's 8th Congressional District Democratic primary on June 30, driven by his fundraising dominance—over $2.5 million raised and $1.2 million cash on hand as of late 2025—outpacing former Rep. Shannon Bird's $1.2 million raised. Analysts describe a two-way race, with Rutinel consolidating support amid Bird's recent scrutiny over her state legislative votes on immigration bills reported March 24. Incumbent Yadira Caraveo withdrew last September, relegating her to 2.3%, while others trail due to minimal resources. Ballots mail June 8; no public polls have emerged post-filing deadline March 17.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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