Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, buoyed by his fundraising dominance—topping challenger totals in Q1 reports—and incumbency in the newly redrawn D+13 seat under Gov. DeSantis's May 6 map. Progressive union organizer Oliver Adams Larkin trails at 23.5%, energized by Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement, Progressive Change Campaign Committee backing, and left-wing backlash to Moskowitz's pro-Israel voting record amid Gaza developments. A March Center for Strategic Politics poll of 491 likely Democratic primary voters showed a near-tie at 45%-44% without biographies, emphasizing volatility ahead of the closed primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$19,434 Vol.
$19,434 Vol.
2026/08/18
ジャレッド・モスコウィッツ
37%
オリバー・アダムズ・ラーキン
22%
$19,434 Vol.
$19,434 Vol.
2026/08/18
ジャレッド・モスコウィッツ
$8,890 Vol.
37%
オリバー・アダムズ・ラーキン
$10,544 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, buoyed by his fundraising dominance—topping challenger totals in Q1 reports—and incumbency in the newly redrawn D+13 seat under Gov. DeSantis's May 6 map. Progressive union organizer Oliver Adams Larkin trails at 23.5%, energized by Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement, Progressive Change Campaign Committee backing, and left-wing backlash to Moskowitz's pro-Israel voting record amid Gaza developments. A March Center for Strategic Politics poll of 491 likely Democratic primary voters showed a near-tie at 45%-44% without biographies, emphasizing volatility ahead of the closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
音量
$19,434終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, buoyed by his fundraising dominance—topping challenger totals in Q1 reports—and incumbency in the newly redrawn D+13 seat under Gov. DeSantis's May 6 map. Progressive union organizer Oliver Adams Larkin trails at 23.5%, energized by Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement, Progressive Change Campaign Committee backing, and left-wing backlash to Moskowitz's pro-Israel voting record amid Gaza developments. A March Center for Strategic Politics poll of 491 likely Democratic primary voters showed a near-tie at 45%-44% without biographies, emphasizing volatility ahead of the closed primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$19,434終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jared Moskowitz leads trader consensus at 46.5% implied probability to win Florida's 23rd Congressional District Democratic primary on August 18, buoyed by his fundraising dominance—topping challenger totals in Q1 reports—and incumbency in the newly redrawn D+13 seat under Gov. DeSantis's May 6 map. Progressive union organizer Oliver Adams Larkin trails at 23.5%, energized by Democratic Socialists of America's first 2026 federal endorsement, Progressive Change Campaign Committee backing, and left-wing backlash to Moskowitz's pro-Israel voting record amid Gaza developments. A March Center for Strategic Politics poll of 491 likely Democratic primary voters showed a near-tie at 45%-44% without biographies, emphasizing volatility ahead of the closed primary.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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