Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects uncertainty from Florida's new congressional maps, signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis this week, which shifted the district northward into Palm Beach County and prompted incumbent Jared Moskowitz to signal a pivot to the competitive FL-25 seat where most of his constituents now reside. Progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, a DSA-endorsed union organizer criticizing Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance and constituent services amid Gaza tensions—where two-thirds of district Democrats favor conditioning or cutting U.S. aid—has narrowed the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Dynamics remain tight ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 closed primary, with separation possible via Moskowitz's district decision, new polls, or endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$18,516 Vol.
$18,516 Vol.
2026/08/18
ジャレッド・モスコウィッツ
36%
オリバー・アダムズ・ラーキン
35%
$18,516 Vol.
$18,516 Vol.
2026/08/18
ジャレッド・モスコウィッツ
$8,073 Vol.
36%
オリバー・アダムズ・ラーキン
$10,443 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects uncertainty from Florida's new congressional maps, signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis this week, which shifted the district northward into Palm Beach County and prompted incumbent Jared Moskowitz to signal a pivot to the competitive FL-25 seat where most of his constituents now reside. Progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, a DSA-endorsed union organizer criticizing Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance and constituent services amid Gaza tensions—where two-thirds of district Democrats favor conditioning or cutting U.S. aid—has narrowed the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Dynamics remain tight ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 closed primary, with separation possible via Moskowitz's district decision, new polls, or endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
マーケット開始日： Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ET
音量
$18,516終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects uncertainty from Florida's new congressional maps, signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis this week, which shifted the district northward into Palm Beach County and prompted incumbent Jared Moskowitz to signal a pivot to the competitive FL-25 seat where most of his constituents now reside. Progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, a DSA-endorsed union organizer criticizing Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance and constituent services amid Gaza tensions—where two-thirds of district Democrats favor conditioning or cutting U.S. aid—has narrowed the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Dynamics remain tight ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 closed primary, with separation possible via Moskowitz's district decision, new polls, or endorsements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$18,516終了日
2026/08/18マーケット開始日
Dec 19, 2025, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus in the FL-23 Democratic primary reflects uncertainty from Florida's new congressional maps, signed by Gov. Ron DeSantis this week, which shifted the district northward into Palm Beach County and prompted incumbent Jared Moskowitz to signal a pivot to the competitive FL-25 seat where most of his constituents now reside. Progressive challenger Oliver Larkin, a DSA-endorsed union organizer criticizing Moskowitz's pro-Israel stance and constituent services amid Gaza tensions—where two-thirds of district Democrats favor conditioning or cutting U.S. aid—has narrowed the gap from a March poll showing Moskowitz at 45% to Larkin's 11%. Dynamics remain tight ahead of the June 12 filing deadline and August 18 closed primary, with separation possible via Moskowitz's district decision, new polls, or endorsements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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