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icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner

Darline Graham Nordone 100.0%

Duke Buckner <1%

Russell Fry <1%

Mark Lynch <1%

Polymarket

$628,043 Vol.

Darline Graham Nordone 100.0%

Duke Buckner <1%

Russell Fry <1%

Mark Lynch <1%

Polymarket

$628,043 Vol.

icon for Duke Buckner

Duke Buckner

$1,440 Vol.

No

icon for Russell Fry

Russell Fry

$34,780 Vol.

No

icon for Darline Graham Nordone

Darline Graham Nordone

$542,346 Vol.

Yes

icon for Mark Lynch

Mark Lynch

$453 Vol.

No

icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$36,610 Vol.

No

icon for Mark Sanford

Mark Sanford

$10,552 Vol.

No

icon for Sheri Biggs

Sheri Biggs

$563 Vol.

No

icon for Pamela Evette

Pamela Evette

$425 Vol.

No

icon for Trey Gowdy

Trey Gowdy

$431 Vol.

No

icon for Henry McMaster

Henry McMaster

$442 Vol.

No

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$628,043
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. Darline Graham Nordone holds a dominant position in the South Carolina Republican primary for the special Senate seat due to her appointment by Governor Henry McMaster to finish her late brother Lindsey Graham’s term, combined with high name recognition and an endorsement from President Trump. These elements allowed her to top a ten-candidate field on August 11 with roughly 33 percent of the vote, advancing ahead of U.S. Rep. Ralph Norman to the August 25 runoff. The market’s 100 percent consensus aligns with verified first-round results showing her as the clear leader. Remaining uncertainty is minimal, though an official recount, certification delay, or unexpected procedural challenge could still shift the recorded outcome before resolution.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$628,043
終了日
2026/08/11
マーケット開始日
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ET

リゾルバー

0x69c47De9D...

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner」はPolymarket上の10個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Darline Graham Nordone」で100%、次いで「Duke Buckner」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner」は$628Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Jul 23, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている10個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Darline Graham Nordone」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Duke Buckner」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。