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政治·プライマリ

サウスダコタ州知事共和党予備選

Market icon
政治·プライマリ

サウスダコタ州知事共和党予備選

ダスティ・ジョンソン 45%

トビー・ドエデン 38%

ラリー・ローデン 18%

ジョン・ハンセン <1%

Polymarket

$25,587 Vol.

ダスティ・ジョンソン 45%

トビー・ドエデン 38%

ラリー・ローデン 18%

ジョン・ハンセン <1%

Polymarket

$25,587 Vol.

ダスティ・ジョンソン

$5,690 Vol.

45%

トビー・ドエデン

$8,254 Vol.

38%

ラリー・ローデン

$9,539 Vol.

18%

ジョン・ハンセン

$2,103 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary at 42.5% implied probability, driven by his polling leads in March Emerson (28%) and Public Opinion Strategies (33%) surveys, bolstered by name recognition and a recent $1 million transfer to his campaign from congressional funds. Businessman Toby Doeden trails closely at 37.5%, gaining from outsider appeal and comments positioning the race as a two-way contest, while incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden lags at 18.5% amid criticism of his unelected ascent after Kristi Noem's departure. High undecideds (23% in polls) and recent GOP debates, including an April 1 forum, keep the field tight ahead of the June 2 primary; strong performances, endorsements, or final polls could create separation among the top contenders.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$25,587
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.U.S. Rep. Dusty Johnson holds a slim edge in trader consensus for the South Dakota Republican gubernatorial primary at 42.5% implied probability, driven by his polling leads in March Emerson (28%) and Public Opinion Strategies (33%) surveys, bolstered by name recognition and a recent $1 million transfer to his campaign from congressional funds. Businessman Toby Doeden trails closely at 37.5%, gaining from outsider appeal and comments positioning the race as a two-way contest, while incumbent Gov. Larry Rhoden lags at 18.5% amid criticism of his unelected ascent after Kristi Noem's departure. High undecideds (23% in polls) and recent GOP debates, including an April 1 forum, keep the field tight ahead of the June 2 primary; strong performances, endorsements, or final polls could create separation among the top contenders.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
音量
$25,587
終了日
2026/06/02
マーケット開始日
Dec 10, 2025, 11:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of South Dakota, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 South Dakota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the South Dakota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

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よくある質問

「サウスダコタ州知事共和党予備選」はPolymarket上の4個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「ダスティ・ジョンソン」で45%、次いで「トビー・ドエデン」が38%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、45¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に45%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「サウスダコタ州知事共和党予備選」は$25.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Dec 11, 2025のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「サウスダコタ州知事共和党予備選」で取引するには、このページに記載されている4個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「サウスダコタ州知事共和党予備選」の現在のフロントランナーは「ダスティ・ジョンソン」で45%であり、市場がこの結果に45%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「トビー・ドエデン」で38%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「サウスダコタ州知事共和党予備選」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。