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選挙·プライマリ

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

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選挙·プライマリ

OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 43%

Scott Schulz 43%

Michael Eisner 6%

Keith Mundy 6%

Polymarket
新規

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone 43%

Scott Schulz 43%

Michael Eisner 6%

Keith Mundy 6%

Polymarket
新規

Laura Rodriguez-Carbone

$6 Vol.

43%

Scott Schulz

$77 Vol.

43%

Michael Eisner

$6 Vol.

6%

Keith Mundy

$6 Vol.

6%

Ann Marie Donegan

$6 Vol.

4%

John Butchko

$6 Vol.

4%

Ed FitzGerald

$12 Vol.

41%

Brian Poindexter

$21 Vol.

62%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Ohio's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary set for May 5, trader consensus favors Brian Poindexter at 57.5% implied probability over Laura Rodriguez-Carbone at 48.5%, reflecting a fragmented eight-way field where recent Bernie Sanders endorsement on March 26 propelled Poindexter's union ironworker profile and labor backing from Ohio AFL-CIO and UAW among working-class primary voters. Rodriguez-Carbone remains competitive with her progressive platform targeting rural communities and corporate accountability, drawing from personal family farm loss narrative amid active campaigning on agriculture costs. Ed FitzGerald lags at 13% despite leading fundraising at $70,000 cash-on-hand and name recognition from his 2014 gubernatorial bid and county executive tenure. Early voting is underway, with candidate forums like Ohio State College Democrats' event and pending FEC reports poised to influence consolidation in this no-incumbent race against GOP Rep. Max Miller.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$71
終了日
2026/05/05
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Ohio's 7th Congressional District Democratic primary set for May 5, trader consensus favors Brian Poindexter at 57.5% implied probability over Laura Rodriguez-Carbone at 48.5%, reflecting a fragmented eight-way field where recent Bernie Sanders endorsement on March 26 propelled Poindexter's union ironworker profile and labor backing from Ohio AFL-CIO and UAW among working-class primary voters. Rodriguez-Carbone remains competitive with her progressive platform targeting rural communities and corporate accountability, drawing from personal family farm loss narrative amid active campaigning on agriculture costs. Ed FitzGerald lags at 13% despite leading fundraising at $70,000 cash-on-hand and name recognition from his 2014 gubernatorial bid and county executive tenure. Early voting is underway, with candidate forums like Ohio State College Democrats' event and pending FEC reports poised to influence consolidation in this no-incumbent race against GOP Rep. Max Miller.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
音量
$71
終了日
2026/05/05
マーケット開始日
Apr 13, 2026, 6:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the OH-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 5, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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よくある質問

「OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上の8個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「Brian Poindexter」で62%、次いで「Laura Rodriguez-Carbone」が43%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、62¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に62%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Apr 13, 2026開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner」で取引するには、このページに記載されている8個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の現在のフロントランナーは「Brian Poindexter」で62%であり、市場がこの結果に62%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「Laura Rodriguez-Carbone」で43%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「OH-07 Democratic Primary Winner」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。