Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine's (R) strong fundraising lead and the district's solid Republican tilt, rated R+14 by Cook Political Report, underpin trader consensus implying 91% odds for a Republican Party win in Florida's 6th Congressional District. Fine, who secured the seat in the April 2025 special election replacing Mike Waltz, faces a crowded August 18 Republican primary including challenger Dan Bilzerian, who filed last week, alongside Democrat Jennifer Jenkins in the general election on November 3. Recent candidate filings post-April 24 deadline have not shifted the market, reflecting historical GOP dominance—Trump carried the district by 30 points in 2024. Upsets could arise from a primary loss to a weaker nominee, scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
91%
民主党
9%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
共和党
$215 Vol.
91%
民主党
$271 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine's (R) strong fundraising lead and the district's solid Republican tilt, rated R+14 by Cook Political Report, underpin trader consensus implying 91% odds for a Republican Party win in Florida's 6th Congressional District. Fine, who secured the seat in the April 2025 special election replacing Mike Waltz, faces a crowded August 18 Republican primary including challenger Dan Bilzerian, who filed last week, alongside Democrat Jennifer Jenkins in the general election on November 3. Recent candidate filings post-April 24 deadline have not shifted the market, reflecting historical GOP dominance—Trump carried the district by 30 points in 2024. Upsets could arise from a primary loss to a weaker nominee, scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
音量
$486終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine's (R) strong fundraising lead and the district's solid Republican tilt, rated R+14 by Cook Political Report, underpin trader consensus implying 91% odds for a Republican Party win in Florida's 6th Congressional District. Fine, who secured the seat in the April 2025 special election replacing Mike Waltz, faces a crowded August 18 Republican primary including challenger Dan Bilzerian, who filed last week, alongside Democrat Jennifer Jenkins in the general election on November 3. Recent candidate filings post-April 24 deadline have not shifted the market, reflecting historical GOP dominance—Trump carried the district by 30 points in 2024. Upsets could arise from a primary loss to a weaker nominee, scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$486終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine's (R) strong fundraising lead and the district's solid Republican tilt, rated R+14 by Cook Political Report, underpin trader consensus implying 91% odds for a Republican Party win in Florida's 6th Congressional District. Fine, who secured the seat in the April 2025 special election replacing Mike Waltz, faces a crowded August 18 Republican primary including challenger Dan Bilzerian, who filed last week, alongside Democrat Jennifer Jenkins in the general election on November 3. Recent candidate filings post-April 24 deadline have not shifted the market, reflecting historical GOP dominance—Trump carried the district by 30 points in 2024. Upsets could arise from a primary loss to a weaker nominee, scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Democrats.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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