Databricks traders overwhelmingly back no IPO by June 30, 2026 (91.5% implied probability), driven by the company's February 2026 completion of a massive $7 billion raise—$5 billion equity at a $134 billion valuation plus $2 billion debt—yielding a $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow. This influx bolsters liquidity for AI database expansions like Lakebase and Genie, diminishing public market urgency amid a software sector selloff that has chilled IPO sentiment. No S-1 filing has emerged, and executives signal preparedness without firm timelines. A surprise regulatory filing or rapid public market rebound could challenge this consensus, though H1 execution remains improbable given historical post-funding delays.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 91.4%
2,500億ドル以上 2.1%
1,750億～2,000億ドル 1.8%
1,500～1,750億ドル 1.5%
$365,905 Vol.
$365,905 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
1%
1,250～1,500億ドル
1%
1,500～1,750億ドル
2%
1,750億～2,000億ドル
2%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
1%
2,500億ドル以上
2%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
91%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし 91.4%
2,500億ドル以上 2.1%
1,750億～2,000億ドル 1.8%
1,500～1,750億ドル 1.5%
$365,905 Vol.
$365,905 Vol.
2026/06/30
1000億ドル未満
$32,044 Vol.
1%
1000億〜1250億ドル
$37,904 Vol.
1%
1,250～1,500億ドル
$24,261 Vol.
1%
1,500～1,750億ドル
$58,625 Vol.
2%
1,750億～2,000億ドル
$57,012 Vol.
2%
2,000億〜2,500億ドル
$19,022 Vol.
1%
2,500億ドル以上
$124,207 Vol.
2%
2026年6月30日までにIPOなし
$12,831 Vol.
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks traders overwhelmingly back no IPO by June 30, 2026 (91.5% implied probability), driven by the company's February 2026 completion of a massive $7 billion raise—$5 billion equity at a $134 billion valuation plus $2 billion debt—yielding a $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow. This influx bolsters liquidity for AI database expansions like Lakebase and Genie, diminishing public market urgency amid a software sector selloff that has chilled IPO sentiment. No S-1 filing has emerged, and executives signal preparedness without firm timelines. A surprise regulatory filing or rapid public market rebound could challenge this consensus, though H1 execution remains improbable given historical post-funding delays.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
マーケット開始日： Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
音量
$365,905終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Databricks traders overwhelmingly back no IPO by June 30, 2026 (91.5% implied probability), driven by the company's February 2026 completion of a massive $7 billion raise—$5 billion equity at a $134 billion valuation plus $2 billion debt—yielding a $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow. This influx bolsters liquidity for AI database expansions like Lakebase and Genie, diminishing public market urgency amid a software sector selloff that has chilled IPO sentiment. No S-1 filing has emerged, and executives signal preparedness without firm timelines. A surprise regulatory filing or rapid public market rebound could challenge this consensus, though H1 execution remains improbable given historical post-funding delays.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
音量
$365,905終了日
2026/06/30マーケット開始日
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Databricks traders overwhelmingly back no IPO by June 30, 2026 (91.5% implied probability), driven by the company's February 2026 completion of a massive $7 billion raise—$5 billion equity at a $134 billion valuation plus $2 billion debt—yielding a $5.4 billion revenue run-rate with over 65% year-over-year growth and positive free cash flow. This influx bolsters liquidity for AI database expansions like Lakebase and Genie, diminishing public market urgency amid a software sector selloff that has chilled IPO sentiment. No S-1 filing has emerged, and executives signal preparedness without firm timelines. A surprise regulatory filing or rapid public market rebound could challenge this consensus, though H1 execution remains improbable given historical post-funding delays.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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