Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, certified by the Registraduría Nacional, position the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) with 26 curules in the Chamber of Representatives, securing third place behind Pacto Histórico (around 40 seats) and Centro Democrático (about 30 seats), well ahead of Partido de la U (12 seats) and others. Trader consensus at 93.7% implied probability for PLC reflects this substantial margin in departmental proportional allocations, bolstered by consistent preconteo tallies across nearly all precincts reported by mid-March. No major recounts or disputes have emerged in the three weeks since voting, amid low turnout and prior security deployments. Potential challenges include legal appeals over special curules (PDET, indigenous, expatriate) or narrow departmental races that could reallocate a few seats, though structural gaps make shifts unlikely before final proclamation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日コロンビア自由党（PLC） 93.7%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U） 4.9%
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD） 3.1%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH） <1%
$449,416 Vol.
$449,416 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
コロンビア自由党（PLC）
94%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U）
5%
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD）
3%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH）
1%
コロンビア保守党
<1%
グリーン・アライアンス（AV）
<1%
カンビオ・ラディカル（CR）
<1%
MIRA-CJL連合（MIRA-CJL）
<1%
コロンビア自由党（PLC） 93.7%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U） 4.9%
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD） 3.1%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH） <1%
$449,416 Vol.
$449,416 Vol.
Mar 8, 2026
コロンビア自由党（PLC）
$35,784 Vol.
94%
ラ・ウ党（Partido de la U）
$373,460 Vol.
5%
セントロ・デモクラティコ（CD）
$32,209 Vol.
3%
コロンビア歴史的協定（PH）
$7,963 Vol.
1%
コロンビア保守党
$0 Vol.
<1%
グリーン・アライアンス（AV）
$0 Vol.
<1%
カンビオ・ラディカル（CR）
$0 Vol.
<1%
MIRA-CJL連合（MIRA-CJL）
$0 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, certified by the Registraduría Nacional, position the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) with 26 curules in the Chamber of Representatives, securing third place behind Pacto Histórico (around 40 seats) and Centro Democrático (about 30 seats), well ahead of Partido de la U (12 seats) and others. Trader consensus at 93.7% implied probability for PLC reflects this substantial margin in departmental proportional allocations, bolstered by consistent preconteo tallies across nearly all precincts reported by mid-March. No major recounts or disputes have emerged in the three weeks since voting, amid low turnout and prior security deployments. Potential challenges include legal appeals over special curules (PDET, indigenous, expatriate) or narrow departmental races that could reallocate a few seats, though structural gaps make shifts unlikely before final proclamation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
マーケット開始日： Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
音量
$449,416終了日
Mar 8, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, certified by the Registraduría Nacional, position the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) with 26 curules in the Chamber of Representatives, securing third place behind Pacto Histórico (around 40 seats) and Centro Democrático (about 30 seats), well ahead of Partido de la U (12 seats) and others. Trader consensus at 93.7% implied probability for PLC reflects this substantial margin in departmental proportional allocations, bolstered by consistent preconteo tallies across nearly all precincts reported by mid-March. No major recounts or disputes have emerged in the three weeks since voting, amid low turnout and prior security deployments. Potential challenges include legal appeals over special curules (PDET, indigenous, expatriate) or narrow departmental races that could reallocate a few seats, though structural gaps make shifts unlikely before final proclamation.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
音量
$449,416終了日
Mar 8, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 4, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, certified by the Registraduría Nacional, position the Partido Liberal Colombiano (PLC) with 26 curules in the Chamber of Representatives, securing third place behind Pacto Histórico (around 40 seats) and Centro Democrático (about 30 seats), well ahead of Partido de la U (12 seats) and others. Trader consensus at 93.7% implied probability for PLC reflects this substantial margin in departmental proportional allocations, bolstered by consistent preconteo tallies across nearly all precincts reported by mid-March. No major recounts or disputes have emerged in the three weeks since voting, amid low turnout and prior security deployments. Potential challenges include legal appeals over special curules (PDET, indigenous, expatriate) or narrow departmental races that could reallocate a few seats, though structural gaps make shifts unlikely before final proclamation.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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