California's 43rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, remains a Democratic stronghold, as evidenced by incumbent Maxine Waters' 75% victory margin in the 2024 general election, fueling trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 contest. Waters, the longest-serving Democrat in the district since 2013, confirmed her reelection bid amid a generational primary challenge from Myla Rahman, with certified candidates for the June 2 top-two primary including two other Democrats and sole Republican Cristian Morales. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 made minor boundary tweaks without altering the Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report. While commanding, odds could shift via an upset primary producing a weakened Democratic nominee, Waters' health concerns at age 87, low turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$12,543 Vol.
$12,543 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
7%
$12,543 Vol.
$12,543 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$3,198 Vol.
94%
共和党
$9,345 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 43rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, remains a Democratic stronghold, as evidenced by incumbent Maxine Waters' 75% victory margin in the 2024 general election, fueling trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 contest. Waters, the longest-serving Democrat in the district since 2013, confirmed her reelection bid amid a generational primary challenge from Myla Rahman, with certified candidates for the June 2 top-two primary including two other Democrats and sole Republican Cristian Morales. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 made minor boundary tweaks without altering the Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report. While commanding, odds could shift via an upset primary producing a weakened Democratic nominee, Waters' health concerns at age 87, low turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ET
音量
$12,543終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 43rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, remains a Democratic stronghold, as evidenced by incumbent Maxine Waters' 75% victory margin in the 2024 general election, fueling trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 contest. Waters, the longest-serving Democrat in the district since 2013, confirmed her reelection bid amid a generational primary challenge from Myla Rahman, with certified candidates for the June 2 top-two primary including two other Democrats and sole Republican Cristian Morales. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 made minor boundary tweaks without altering the Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report. While commanding, odds could shift via an upset primary producing a weakened Democratic nominee, Waters' health concerns at age 87, low turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-43 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$12,543終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 10:29 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 43rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+27, remains a Democratic stronghold, as evidenced by incumbent Maxine Waters' 75% victory margin in the 2024 general election, fueling trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in the November 2026 contest. Waters, the longest-serving Democrat in the district since 2013, confirmed her reelection bid amid a generational primary challenge from Myla Rahman, with certified candidates for the June 2 top-two primary including two other Democrats and sole Republican Cristian Morales. Recent redistricting via Proposition 50 made minor boundary tweaks without altering the Solid Democratic rating from Cook Political Report. While commanding, odds could shift via an upset primary producing a weakened Democratic nominee, Waters' health concerns at age 87, low turnout, or a national Republican midterm wave.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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