The pronounced Democratic lean of California's 36th congressional district, with its strong partisan voting index and history of large margins for the party, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu enters the June 2 top-two primary with minimal intra-party opposition and faces Republican challengers who have yet to demonstrate competitive strength ahead of the November general election. Consistent past results, including double-digit victories, and robust fundraising further solidify the positioning. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include an unexpected primary result or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district's structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
94%
共和党
6%
新規
新規
2026/11/03
民主党
$5,296 Vol.
94%
共和党
$4,386 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic lean of California's 36th congressional district, with its strong partisan voting index and history of large margins for the party, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu enters the June 2 top-two primary with minimal intra-party opposition and faces Republican challengers who have yet to demonstrate competitive strength ahead of the November general election. Consistent past results, including double-digit victories, and robust fundraising further solidify the positioning. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include an unexpected primary result or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
音量
$9,683終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The pronounced Democratic lean of California's 36th congressional district, with its strong partisan voting index and history of large margins for the party, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu enters the June 2 top-two primary with minimal intra-party opposition and faces Republican challengers who have yet to demonstrate competitive strength ahead of the November general election. Consistent past results, including double-digit victories, and robust fundraising further solidify the positioning. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include an unexpected primary result or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district's structural advantages.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$9,683終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The pronounced Democratic lean of California's 36th congressional district, with its strong partisan voting index and history of large margins for the party, underpins the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Ted Lieu enters the June 2 top-two primary with minimal intra-party opposition and faces Republican challengers who have yet to demonstrate competitive strength ahead of the November general election. Consistent past results, including double-digit victories, and robust fundraising further solidify the positioning. Scenarios that could realistically alter the outcome remain limited but include an unexpected primary result or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave capable of overcoming the district's structural advantages.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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