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Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round

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Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round

Other 100.0%

Medina 20%+ <1%

Medina 12-20% <1%

Medina 7-12% <1%

Polymarket

$159,072 Vol.

Other 100.0%

Medina 20%+ <1%

Medina 12-20% <1%

Medina 7-12% <1%

Polymarket

$159,072 Vol.

Medina 20%+

$10,255 Vol.

No

Medina 12-20%

$13,597 Vol.

No

Medina 7-12%

$11,410 Vol.

No

Medina 3-7%

$9,879 Vol.

No

Medina 0-3%

$10,976 Vol.

No

Quiroga 0-3%

$11,775 Vol.

No

Quiroga 3-7%

$10,582 Vol.

No

Quiroga 7-12%

$7,390 Vol.

No

Quiroga 12-20%

$13,783 Vol.

No

Quiroga 20%+

$20,305 Vol.

No

Other

$39,121 Vol.

Yes

General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on August 17, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in Bolivian Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
音量
$159,072
終了日
Aug 17, 2025
マーケット開始日
Aug 11, 2025, 1:48 PM ET
General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first and second-place candidate. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in Bolivian Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve solely based on the first official vote count released by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Other" at 100%, followed by "Medina 20%+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round" has generated $159.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round" is "Other" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Medina 20%+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Bolivia Presidential Election Margin of Victory: First Round" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.