Bank of Canada traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly back no change at the April 29 announcement, with 97.2% implied probability on the policy rate steady at 2.25%, following the Governing Council's March 18 hold amid in-line March CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and February unemployment rising to 6.7%. This strong consensus reflects a wait-and-see stance, as softening labor conditions offset persistent inflation risks from volatile energy prices tied to Middle East tensions and global trade uncertainties, with money markets pricing minimal near-term adjustments. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected April CPI or employment prints accelerating upside inflation pressures, or sharper growth downside prompting cut bets, ahead of the Monetary Policy Report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日変更なし 97.2%
利上げ 2.6%
25ベーシスポイントの利下げ <1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$80,019 Vol.
$80,019 Vol.
2026/04/29
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの利下げ
<1%
変更なし
97%
利上げ
3%
変更なし 97.2%
利上げ 2.6%
25ベーシスポイントの利下げ <1%
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ <1%
$80,019 Vol.
$80,019 Vol.
2026/04/29
50ベーシスポイント以上の利下げ
$20,838 Vol.
<1%
25ベーシスポイントの利下げ
$25,095 Vol.
<1%
変更なし
$23,322 Vol.
97%
利上げ
$10,764 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly back no change at the April 29 announcement, with 97.2% implied probability on the policy rate steady at 2.25%, following the Governing Council's March 18 hold amid in-line March CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and February unemployment rising to 6.7%. This strong consensus reflects a wait-and-see stance, as softening labor conditions offset persistent inflation risks from volatile energy prices tied to Middle East tensions and global trade uncertainties, with money markets pricing minimal near-term adjustments. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected April CPI or employment prints accelerating upside inflation pressures, or sharper growth downside prompting cut bets, ahead of the Monetary Policy Report.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
マーケット開始日： Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
音量
$80,019終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Bank of Canada traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly back no change at the April 29 announcement, with 97.2% implied probability on the policy rate steady at 2.25%, following the Governing Council's March 18 hold amid in-line March CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and February unemployment rising to 6.7%. This strong consensus reflects a wait-and-see stance, as softening labor conditions offset persistent inflation risks from volatile energy prices tied to Middle East tensions and global trade uncertainties, with money markets pricing minimal near-term adjustments. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected April CPI or employment prints accelerating upside inflation pressures, or sharper growth downside prompting cut bets, ahead of the Monetary Policy Report.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
音量
$80,019終了日
2026/04/29マーケット開始日
Jan 30, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Bank of Canada traders on Polymarket overwhelmingly back no change at the April 29 announcement, with 97.2% implied probability on the policy rate steady at 2.25%, following the Governing Council's March 18 hold amid in-line March CPI at 2.4% year-over-year and February unemployment rising to 6.7%. This strong consensus reflects a wait-and-see stance, as softening labor conditions offset persistent inflation risks from volatile energy prices tied to Middle East tensions and global trade uncertainties, with money markets pricing minimal near-term adjustments. Realistic challenges include hotter-than-expected April CPI or employment prints accelerating upside inflation pressures, or sharper growth downside prompting cut bets, ahead of the Monetary Policy Report.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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