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アレクサンドル・デ・モラエスがブラジル最高裁判所判事に?

Market icon

アレクサンドル・デ・モラエスがブラジル最高裁判所判事に?

はい

18% 確率
Polymarket

$17,405 Vol.

はい

18% 確率
Polymarket

$17,405 Vol.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice, driven by his entrenched position with no active impeachment proceedings advancing in the Senate, which requires a two-thirds supermajority for removal. Appointed in 2017 with a life term until age 75, Moraes continues issuing rulings, including recent votes upholding ex-President Jair Bolsonaro's imprisonment in early March 2026 and granting him temporary house arrest for medical reasons. The STF plenary honored him on March 19 for nine years of service, signaling institutional support amid ongoing controversies like alleged financial scandals and censorship probes from Bolsonaro allies. U.S. sanctions lifted in December 2025 eased external pressures, while unverified resignation rumors were debunked, reinforcing stability ahead of Brazil's 2026 elections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$17,405
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice, driven by his entrenched position with no active impeachment proceedings advancing in the Senate, which requires a two-thirds supermajority for removal. Appointed in 2017 with a life term until age 75, Moraes continues issuing rulings, including recent votes upholding ex-President Jair Bolsonaro's imprisonment in early March 2026 and granting him temporary house arrest for medical reasons. The STF plenary honored him on March 19 for nine years of service, signaling institutional support amid ongoing controversies like alleged financial scandals and censorship probes from Bolsonaro allies. U.S. sanctions lifted in December 2025 eased external pressures, while unverified resignation rumors were debunked, reinforcing stability ahead of Brazil's 2026 elections.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$17,405
終了日
2026/12/31
マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to be a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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よくある質問

「アレクサンドル・デ・モラエスがブラジル最高裁判所判事に?」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「アレクサンドレ・デ・モラエスがブラジル最高裁判所判事を退任?」で18%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、18¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に18%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「アレクサンドル・デ・モラエスがブラジル最高裁判所判事に?」は$17.4Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Mar 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「アレクサンドル・デ・モラエスがブラジル最高裁判所判事に?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アレクサンドル・デ・モラエスがブラジル最高裁判所判事に?」の現在のフロントランナーは「アレクサンドレ・デ・モラエスがブラジル最高裁判所判事を退任?」で18%であり、市場がこの結果に18%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アレクサンドル・デ・モラエスがブラジル最高裁判所判事に?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。