Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice, driven by his entrenched position with no active impeachment proceedings advancing in the Senate, which requires a two-thirds supermajority for removal. Appointed in 2017 with a life term until age 75, Moraes continues issuing rulings, including recent votes upholding ex-President Jair Bolsonaro's imprisonment in early March 2026 and granting him temporary house arrest for medical reasons. The STF plenary honored him on March 19 for nine years of service, signaling institutional support amid ongoing controversies like alleged financial scandals and censorship probes from Bolsonaro allies. U.S. sanctions lifted in December 2025 eased external pressures, while unverified resignation rumors were debunked, reinforcing stability ahead of Brazil's 2026 elections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日はい
$17,405 Vol.
$17,405 Vol.
はい
$17,405 Vol.
$17,405 Vol.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
マーケット開始日: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects an 82% implied probability that Alexandre de Moraes will remain a Brazilian Supreme Federal Court (STF) justice, driven by his entrenched position with no active impeachment proceedings advancing in the Senate, which requires a two-thirds supermajority for removal. Appointed in 2017 with a life term until age 75, Moraes continues issuing rulings, including recent votes upholding ex-President Jair Bolsonaro's imprisonment in early March 2026 and granting him temporary house arrest for medical reasons. The STF plenary honored him on March 19 for nine years of service, signaling institutional support amid ongoing controversies like alleged financial scandals and censorship probes from Bolsonaro allies. U.S. sanctions lifted in December 2025 eased external pressures, while unverified resignation rumors were debunked, reinforcing stability ahead of Brazil's 2026 elections.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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