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アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任？

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アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任？

NEW
Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$6,644 Vol.

Polymarket

2026年6月30日

$755 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid sustained student-led anti-corruption protests that erupted after the November 2024 Novi Sad train station collapse and entered their second year in early 2026, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić remains in office, his five-year term set to end in 2027. Protester demands for accountability prompted multiple prime ministerial resignations, including Miloš Vučević's in 2025, and Vučić's own exit as Serbian Progressive Party leader, but no presidential change. Recent parliamentary elections in early 2026 saw his allies retain influence despite opposition gains fueled by protests. Vučić announced in August 2025 plans to step down around February 2027, rejecting constitutional tweaks for extension. Traders monitor for snap developments or forced resignation before the June 30, 2026, market cutoff amid EU accession pressures and economic strain.

Amid sustained student-led anti-corruption protests that erupted after the November 2024 Novi Sad train station collapse and entered their second year in early 2026, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić remains in office, his five-year term set to end in 2027. Protester demands for accountability prompted multiple prime ministerial resignations, including Miloš Vučević's in 2025, and Vučić's own exit as Serbian Progressive Party leader, but no presidential change. Recent parliamentary elections in early 2026 saw his allies retain influence despite opposition gains fueled by protests. Vučić announced in August 2025 plans to step down around February 2027, rejecting constitutional tweaks for extension. Traders monitor for snap developments or forced resignation before the June 30, 2026, market cutoff amid EU accession pressures and economic strain.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.This market will resolve to “Yes” if Aleksandar Vučić ceases to be the President of Serbia for any period of time between November 13, 2025 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Aleksandar Vučić's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Serbia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Amid sustained student-led anti-corruption protests that erupted after the November 2024 Novi Sad train station collapse and entered their second year in early 2026, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić remains in office, his five-year term set to end in 2027. Protester demands for accountability prompted multiple prime ministerial resignations, including Miloš Vučević's in 2025, and Vučić's own exit as Serbian Progressive Party leader, but no presidential change. Recent parliamentary elections in early 2026 saw his allies retain influence despite opposition gains fueled by protests. Vučić announced in August 2025 plans to step down around February 2027, rejecting constitutional tweaks for extension. Traders monitor for snap developments or forced resignation before the June 30, 2026, market cutoff amid EU accession pressures and economic strain.

Amid sustained student-led anti-corruption protests that erupted after the November 2024 Novi Sad train station collapse and entered their second year in early 2026, Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić remains in office, his five-year term set to end in 2027. Protester demands for accountability prompted multiple prime ministerial resignations, including Miloš Vučević's in 2025, and Vučić's own exit as Serbian Progressive Party leader, but no presidential change. Recent parliamentary elections in early 2026 saw his allies retain influence despite opposition gains fueled by protests. Vučić announced in August 2025 plans to step down around February 2027, rejecting constitutional tweaks for extension. Traders monitor for snap developments or forced resignation before the June 30, 2026, market cutoff amid EU accession pressures and economic strain.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任？」はPolymarket上の2個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「2026年6月30日」で13%、次いで「2025年12月31日」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、13¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に13%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任？」はPolymarket上で新しく作成された市場です（Nov 13, 2025開始）。早期の市場として、最初のトレーダーの一人としてオッズを設定し、市場の初期価格シグナルを確立するチャンスです。このページをブックマークして、取引量と活動を追跡することもできます。

「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている2個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任？」の現在のフロントランナーは「2026年6月30日」で13%であり、市場がこの結果に13%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「2025年12月31日」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「アレクサンダル・ヴチッチがセルビア大統領に就任？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。