Former Alaska Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich leads trader consensus at 24.5% implied probability in the wide-open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, driven by his top showing in the February Lake Research Partners primary poll (22% first-round support) and competitive $350,000 early fundraising haul largely from in-state donors, positioning him strongly for the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary amid a crowded Republican field. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (14%) benefits from base appeal and a Senate running mate, while ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%) boasts the strongest external fundraising at $880,000; Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10.5%) lags with just $17,000 raised. Begich differentiates via bipartisan experience on education and Alaska Marine Highway reforms; support consolidation may turn on GOP endorsements, additional polls, dropouts before June 1 filing deadline, and ranked-choice voting dynamics in November's general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 10%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$374,369 Vol.
$374,369 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
10%
エドナ・デブリーズ
8%
トレグ・テイラー
11%
リサ・マーカウスキー
7%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
4%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 10%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$374,369 Vol.
$374,369 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
10%
エドナ・デブリーズ
8%
トレグ・テイラー
11%
リサ・マーカウスキー
7%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
4%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Alaska Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich leads trader consensus at 24.5% implied probability in the wide-open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, driven by his top showing in the February Lake Research Partners primary poll (22% first-round support) and competitive $350,000 early fundraising haul largely from in-state donors, positioning him strongly for the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary amid a crowded Republican field. Conservative activist Bernadette Wilson (14%) benefits from base appeal and a Senate running mate, while ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%) boasts the strongest external fundraising at $880,000; Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (10.5%) lags with just $17,000 raised. Begich differentiates via bipartisan experience on education and Alaska Marine Highway reforms; support consolidation may turn on GOP endorsements, additional polls, dropouts before June 1 filing deadline, and ranked-choice voting dynamics in November's general election.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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