In the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% following a February Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him leading at 22% in the crowded nonpartisan top-four primary field ahead of August 18, buoyed by Democratic unity amid Republican fragmentation. Bernadette Wilson (14%), Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%), and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%) trail, differentiated by Wilson's early GOP polling strength and business background, Dahlstrom's executive experience, and Taylor's legal profile, though GOP self-funding like Matt Heilala's $1.28 million dilutes support. February fundraising reports revealed six-figure hauls for 10 candidates; consolidation could hinge on endorsements, further polls, rural campaigning, and forum performances before June 1 filing and ranked-choice November 3 general.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 11%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$374,125 Vol.
$374,125 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
11%
エドナ・デブリーズ
8%
トレグ・テイラー
11%
リサ・マーカウスキー
5%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
5%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
トム・ベギッチ 25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン 14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム 11%
エドナ・デブリーズ 9.1%
$374,125 Vol.
$374,125 Vol.
トム・ベギッチ
25%
バーナデット・ウィルソン
14%
ナンシー・ダールストロム
11%
エドナ・デブリーズ
8%
トレグ・テイラー
11%
リサ・マーカウスキー
5%
デイビッド・ブロンソン
5%
ジェームズ・パーキン
5%
シェリー・ヒューズ
5%
メアリー・ペルトラ
3%
クリック・ビショップ
2%
マット・ハイララ
1%
アダム・クラム
1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
マーケット開始日： Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open 2026 Alaska gubernatorial race, with incumbent Mike Dunleavy term-limited, trader consensus favors former state Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich at 24.5% following a February Lake Research Partners primary poll showing him leading at 22% in the crowded nonpartisan top-four primary field ahead of August 18, buoyed by Democratic unity amid Republican fragmentation. Bernadette Wilson (14%), Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom (11%), and ex-Attorney General Treg Taylor (10.9%) trail, differentiated by Wilson's early GOP polling strength and business background, Dahlstrom's executive experience, and Taylor's legal profile, though GOP self-funding like Matt Heilala's $1.28 million dilutes support. February fundraising reports revealed six-figure hauls for 10 candidates; consolidation could hinge on endorsements, further polls, rural campaigning, and forum performances before June 1 filing and ranked-choice November 3 general.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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