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2026年ソウル市長選挙受賞者

Market icon

2026年ソウル市長選挙受賞者

チョン・ウォノ 75%

オ・セフン 15%

パク・ジュミン 7.2%

チョン・ヒョンヒ <1%

Polymarket

$9,553,066 Vol.

チョン・ウォノ 75%

オ・セフン 15%

パク・ジュミン 7.2%

チョン・ヒョンヒ <1%

Polymarket

$9,553,066 Vol.

Market icon

チョン・ウォノ

$305,024 Vol.

75%

Market icon

オ・セフン

$563,413 Vol.

15%

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パク・ジュミン

$399,993 Vol.

7%

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チョン・ヒョンヒ

$733,429 Vol.

<1%

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ホン・イクピョ

$804,690 Vol.

<1%

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チョ・ウンヒ

$1,060,180 Vol.

<1%

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安哲秀

$585,096 Vol.

<1%

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パク・ヨンジン

$1,100,909 Vol.

<1%

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チョ・グク

$598,580 Vol.

<1%

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ナ・ギョンウォン

$864,334 Vol.

<1%

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パク・ホングン

$722,549 Vol.

<1%

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徐暎教

$784,362 Vol.

<1%

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カン・フンシク

$341,849 Vol.

<1%

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ハン・ドンフン

$688,983 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Chong Won-oh's commanding lead in recent Democratic Party primary polls and hypothetical head-to-head matchups against incumbent Oh Se-hoon—such as a March 5 survey showing him ahead 55.8% to 32.4%—has solidified trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election. As Seongdong District mayor, Chong benefits from opposition momentum reflected in broader Seoul polling favoring the Democratic Party five days ago, amid presidential approval trends historically influencing local outcomes. Oh Se-hoon trails at 15% amid People Power Party's three-way primary competition announced March 23, introducing nominee uncertainty despite his incumbency. Park Ju-min at 7.4% gains notice as a PPP contender, while others lag as primaries intensify.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
音量
$9,553,066
終了日
2026/06/03
マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.Chong Won-oh's commanding lead in recent Democratic Party primary polls and hypothetical head-to-head matchups against incumbent Oh Se-hoon—such as a March 5 survey showing him ahead 55.8% to 32.4%—has solidified trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election. As Seongdong District mayor, Chong benefits from opposition momentum reflected in broader Seoul polling favoring the Democratic Party five days ago, amid presidential approval trends historically influencing local outcomes. Oh Se-hoon trails at 15% amid People Power Party's three-way primary competition announced March 23, introducing nominee uncertainty despite his incumbency. Park Ju-min at 7.4% gains notice as a PPP contender, while others lag as primaries intensify.

The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.

If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
音量
$9,553,066
終了日
2026/06/03
マーケット開始日
Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
The 2026 Seoul mayoral election is scheduled to take place on June 3, 2026 to elect the next mayor of Seoul. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「2026年ソウル市長選挙受賞者」はPolymarket上の14個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「チョン・ウォノ」で75%、次いで「オ・セフン」が14%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、75¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に75%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「2026年ソウル市長選挙受賞者」は$9.6 millionの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 13, 2025のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「2026年ソウル市長選挙受賞者」で取引するには、このページに記載されている14個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「2026年ソウル市長選挙受賞者」の現在のフロントランナーは「チョン・ウォノ」で75%であり、市場がこの結果に75%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「オ・セフン」で14%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「2026年ソウル市長選挙受賞者」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。