Chong Won-oh's commanding lead in recent Democratic Party primary polls and hypothetical head-to-head matchups against incumbent Oh Se-hoon—such as a March 5 survey showing him ahead 55.8% to 32.4%—has solidified trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election. As Seongdong District mayor, Chong benefits from opposition momentum reflected in broader Seoul polling favoring the Democratic Party five days ago, amid presidential approval trends historically influencing local outcomes. Oh Se-hoon trails at 15% amid People Power Party's three-way primary competition announced March 23, introducing nominee uncertainty despite his incumbency. Park Ju-min at 7.4% gains notice as a PPP contender, while others lag as primaries intensify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日チョン・ウォノ 75%
オ・セフン 15%
パク・ジュミン 7.2%
チョン・ヒョンヒ <1%
$9,553,066 Vol.
$9,553,066 Vol.

チョン・ウォノ
75%

オ・セフン
15%

パク・ジュミン
7%

チョン・ヒョンヒ
<1%

ホン・イクピョ
<1%

チョ・ウンヒ
<1%

安哲秀
<1%

パク・ヨンジン
<1%

チョ・グク
<1%

ナ・ギョンウォン
<1%

パク・ホングン
<1%

徐暎教
<1%

カン・フンシク
<1%

ハン・ドンフン
<1%
チョン・ウォノ 75%
オ・セフン 15%
パク・ジュミン 7.2%
チョン・ヒョンヒ <1%
$9,553,066 Vol.
$9,553,066 Vol.

チョン・ウォノ
75%

オ・セフン
15%

パク・ジュミン
7%

チョン・ヒョンヒ
<1%

ホン・イクピョ
<1%

チョ・ウンヒ
<1%

安哲秀
<1%

パク・ヨンジン
<1%

チョ・グク
<1%

ナ・ギョンウォン
<1%

パク・ホングン
<1%

徐暎教
<1%

カン・フンシク
<1%

ハン・ドンフン
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
マーケット開始日: Nov 12, 2025, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chong Won-oh's commanding lead in recent Democratic Party primary polls and hypothetical head-to-head matchups against incumbent Oh Se-hoon—such as a March 5 survey showing him ahead 55.8% to 32.4%—has solidified trader consensus at 74.5% implied probability for the June 3, 2026 Seoul mayoral election. As Seongdong District mayor, Chong benefits from opposition momentum reflected in broader Seoul polling favoring the Democratic Party five days ago, amid presidential approval trends historically influencing local outcomes. Oh Se-hoon trails at 15% amid People Power Party's three-way primary competition announced March 23, introducing nominee uncertainty despite his incumbency. Park Ju-min at 7.4% gains notice as a PPP contender, while others lag as primaries intensify.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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