Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Center following his February 19 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with trader consensus at 99.7% "No" reflecting the improbability of release by March 31 amid ongoing appeals that began March 4 and a recent court denial of his release request. Prosecutors secured a six-month detention extension in early January, bolstering judicial barriers after multiple prior warrants and his resistance to arrest. While procedural errors, successful emergency bail appeals, or unforeseen health issues could theoretically prompt discharge, historical patterns in high-profile cases and the gravity of charges make such shifts highly unlikely before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourYoon hors de garde d'ici le 31 mars ?
Yoon hors de garde d'ici le 31 mars ?
Oui
$128,741 Vol.
$128,741 Vol.
Oui
$128,741 Vol.
$128,741 Vol.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol remains in detention at Seoul Detention Center following his February 19 life sentence for insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration, with trader consensus at 99.7% "No" reflecting the improbability of release by March 31 amid ongoing appeals that began March 4 and a recent court denial of his release request. Prosecutors secured a six-month detention extension in early January, bolstering judicial barriers after multiple prior warrants and his resistance to arrest. While procedural errors, successful emergency bail appeals, or unforeseen health issues could theoretically prompt discharge, historical patterns in high-profile cases and the gravity of charges make such shifts highly unlikely before the deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes