Incumbent Republican Sen. John Barrasso holds a commanding lead in Wyoming's U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red political landscape where Republicans have won by 40+ points in recent cycles. Polling averages from sources like AtlasIntel and RMG Research show Barrasso ahead by 50-60 points against Democratic challenger Traci Davis, bolstered by his long tenure since 2007, GOP conference chair role, and unopposed primary. Trader consensus at 92% for Republican odds captures this dominance, aligned with Wyoming's R+25 partisan lean and Trump carryover from 2020. Realistic challenges include a major scandal or national Democratic surge, though base rates suggest minimal risk ahead of November balloting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Républicain
92%

Démocrate
8%

Républicain
92%

Démocrate
8%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. John Barrasso holds a commanding lead in Wyoming's U.S. Senate race, reflecting the state's deep-red political landscape where Republicans have won by 40+ points in recent cycles. Polling averages from sources like AtlasIntel and RMG Research show Barrasso ahead by 50-60 points against Democratic challenger Traci Davis, bolstered by his long tenure since 2007, GOP conference chair role, and unopposed primary. Trader consensus at 92% for Republican odds captures this dominance, aligned with Wyoming's R+25 partisan lean and Trump carryover from 2020. Realistic challenges include a major scandal or national Democratic surge, though base rates suggest minimal risk ahead of November balloting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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