Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, exiled since her dramatic December 2025 sea escape amid post-election crackdowns, announced on March 1 her return within weeks to lead a democratic transition and new elections. This follows the U.S. military's January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, elevating Vice President Delcy Rodríguez to interim president; recent U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and the reopening of Machado's Vente Venezuela party headquarters signal a tentative political thaw. Despite Rodríguez's arrest warnings, allies like Henry Alviarez predict a land border entry soon, with opposition mobilization underway. Traders weigh regime tolerance against Machado's popularity and Nobel Peace Prize stature in this fluid post-Maduro landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourMaría Corina Machado entre au Venezuela par... ?
María Corina Machado entre au Venezuela par... ?
$5,354,469 Vol.

30 avril
19%

May 31
33%

June 30
52%
$5,354,469 Vol.

30 avril
19%

May 31
33%

June 30
52%
For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as María Corina Machado physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not María Corina Machado enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Venezuelan opposition leader María Corina Machado, exiled since her dramatic December 2025 sea escape amid post-election crackdowns, announced on March 1 her return within weeks to lead a democratic transition and new elections. This follows the U.S. military's January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, elevating Vice President Delcy Rodríguez to interim president; recent U.S. sanctions relief on Rodríguez and the reopening of Machado's Vente Venezuela party headquarters signal a tentative political thaw. Despite Rodríguez's arrest warnings, allies like Henry Alviarez predict a land border entry soon, with opposition mobilization underway. Traders weigh regime tolerance against Machado's popularity and Nobel Peace Prize stature in this fluid post-Maduro landscape.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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