Market icon

Avec quels pays les États-Unis concluront-ils des accords tarifaires d'ici le 31 décembre ?

$23,648 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.

Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/).

Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.

Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.
Volume
$23,648
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Créé le
Nov 26, 2025, 12:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and the listed country/entity by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend tariff exemptions will qualify if announced as an individualized extension. However, tariff exemptions which are announced as part of a class of exemptions and do not reflect individual deals - such as Trump’s April 9 pause on all reciprocal tariffs other than those on China - will not qualify (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/modifying-reciprocal-tariff-rates-to-reflect-trading-partner-retaliation-and-alignment/). Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. Agreements that include the United States and the listed country/entity as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

Avec quels pays les États-Unis concluront-ils des accords tarifaires d'ici le 31 décembre ?

$23,648 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mexique

$1,502 Vol.

Non

Market icon

Canada

$3,831 Vol.

Non

Market icon

Australie

$2,892 Vol.

Non

Market icon

Chine

$5,420 Vol.

Non

Market icon

Inde

$6,323 Vol.

Non

Market icon

Israël

$3,680 Vol.

Oui

À propos

Volume
$23,648
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Créé le
Nov 26, 2025, 12:23 PM ET

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.