Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, driven by stalled US-mediated trilateral peace talks in Geneva this February and subsequent holds amid Middle East escalations, including Iran's instability diverting focus. Zelenskyy recently held online discussions with US negotiators like Witkoff and Kushner alongside NATO Secretary General Rutte on April 1-3, emphasizing security guarantees, but Putin has refused direct contact since their 2019 encounter, citing unyielding territorial demands like full Donetsk control. Turkey edges alternatives at 2.7% due to its history hosting early-2022 Istanbul negotiations; US at 2.3% reflects ongoing mediation role, while Gulf states like Qatar/UAE draw slim odds from floated Abu Dhabi venue shifts in March. Absent breakthroughs in ceasefire or sanctions relief, diplomatic stalemate persists into potential 2027 summits.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPas de rencontre avant 2027 81%
Turquie 2.7%
États-Unis 2.3%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 1.8%
$1,893,217 Vol.
$1,893,217 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
81%

Turquie
3%

États-Unis
2%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Hongrie
2%

Russia
1%

Suisse
1%

Biélorussie
1%

China
1%

Inde
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Ukraine
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
Pas de rencontre avant 2027 81%
Turquie 2.7%
États-Unis 2.3%
Qatar / Émirats arabes unis 1.8%
$1,893,217 Vol.
$1,893,217 Vol.

Pas de rencontre avant 2027
81%

Turquie
3%

États-Unis
2%

Qatar / Émirats arabes unis
2%

Arabie saoudite
2%

Hongrie
2%

Russia
1%

Suisse
1%

Biélorussie
1%

China
1%

Inde
1%

Italie / Vatican
1%

Ukraine
1%

Kazakhstan
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, driven by stalled US-mediated trilateral peace talks in Geneva this February and subsequent holds amid Middle East escalations, including Iran's instability diverting focus. Zelenskyy recently held online discussions with US negotiators like Witkoff and Kushner alongside NATO Secretary General Rutte on April 1-3, emphasizing security guarantees, but Putin has refused direct contact since their 2019 encounter, citing unyielding territorial demands like full Donetsk control. Turkey edges alternatives at 2.7% due to its history hosting early-2022 Istanbul negotiations; US at 2.3% reflects ongoing mediation role, while Gulf states like Qatar/UAE draw slim odds from floated Abu Dhabi venue shifts in March. Absent breakthroughs in ceasefire or sanctions relief, diplomatic stalemate persists into potential 2027 summits.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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