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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental

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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental

AITC 58.6%

BJP 40.1%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$1,895,899 Vol.

AITC 58.6%

BJP 40.1%

CPI <1%

CPI(M) <1%

Polymarket

$1,895,899 Vol.

Le All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) remportera-t-il le plus grand nombre de sièges lors des élections de l’Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental en 2026 ? icon

AITC

$102,269 Vol.

59%

Le Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors de l’élection de l’Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental en 2026 ? icon

BJP

$153,816 Vol.

40%

Le Parti communiste de l'Inde (CPI) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental de 2026 ? icon

CPI

$793,310 Vol.

<1%

Le Parti communiste d'Inde (marxiste) [CPI(M)] remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors des élections à l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental en 2026 ? icon

CPI(M)

$30,875 Vol.

<1%

Le Congrès national indien (INC) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges lors de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental de 2026 ? icon

INC

$22,707 Vol.

<1%

Le Bharatiya Gorkha Prajatantrik Morcha (BGPM) remportera-t-il le plus de sièges aux élections de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale-Occidental de 2026 ? icon

BGPM

$792,922 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AITC at 58.6% to win the most seats in the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, scheduled for two phases on April 23 and 29 across 294 constituencies, reflecting the incumbent party's poll leads despite BJP's 40.1% challenge. Recent opinion polls from early April show AITC projected at 140-180 seats with 41-47% vote share, bolstered by Mamata Banerjee's top chief minister preference, welfare schemes like Lakshmir Bhandar targeting women voters, and holds in rural and Muslim-majority areas. BJP surges in urban Kolkata and north Bengal on anti-incumbency over unemployment and law-and-order issues, fueled by Amit Shah's recent rallies. A voter list controversy deleting 91 lakh names via ECI's Special Intensive Revision has sparked protests over potential turnout suppression in AITC strongholds, while 65-70 razor-thin margin seats could tip the balance.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Volume
$1,895,899
Date de fin
29 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices AITC at 58.6% to win the most seats in the West Bengal Legislative Assembly election, scheduled for two phases on April 23 and 29 across 294 constituencies, reflecting the incumbent party's poll leads despite BJP's 40.1% challenge. Recent opinion polls from early April show AITC projected at 140-180 seats with 41-47% vote share, bolstered by Mamata Banerjee's top chief minister preference, welfare schemes like Lakshmir Bhandar targeting women voters, and holds in rural and Muslim-majority areas. BJP surges in urban Kolkata and north Bengal on anti-incumbency over unemployment and law-and-order issues, fueled by Amit Shah's recent rallies. A voter list controversy deleting 91 lakh names via ECI's Special Intensive Revision has sparked protests over potential turnout suppression in AITC strongholds, while 65-70 razor-thin margin seats could tip the balance.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).
Volume
$1,895,899
Date de fin
29 avr. 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 3:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in West Bengal, India, in March–April 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next West Bengal Legislative Assembly election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the West Bengal Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (eci.gov.in). If there are multiple reports, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the most Assembly Constituents (AC).

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « AITC » à 59%, suivi de « BJP » à 40%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 59¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental » a généré $1.9 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Dec 23, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental » est « AITC » à 59%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 59% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « BJP » à 40%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection de l'Assemblée législative du Bengale occidental » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.