Longstanding territorial disputes between Thailand and Cambodia, centered on the Preah Vihear temple area ruled Cambodian by the International Court of Justice in 1962 and 2013, have led to deadly border clashes as recently as 2011 but remain demilitarized since. No major military or diplomatic escalations have occurred in the past 30 days, with both nations prioritizing ASEAN cooperation, trade, and joint border patrols amid stable relations. Occasional reports of troop movements prompt nationalist rhetoric but resolve diplomatically without incident. Traders should monitor for provocative actions, such as incursions or domestic political pressures, ahead of any resolution date, though de-escalation signals dominate current postures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLa Thaïlande frappe le Cambodge par... ?
La Thaïlande frappe le Cambodge par... ?
$61,135 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
30 juin 2026
22%
$61,135 Vol.
30 juin 2026
$16,722 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Longstanding territorial disputes between Thailand and Cambodia, centered on the Preah Vihear temple area ruled Cambodian by the International Court of Justice in 1962 and 2013, have led to deadly border clashes as recently as 2011 but remain demilitarized since. No major military or diplomatic escalations have occurred in the past 30 days, with both nations prioritizing ASEAN cooperation, trade, and joint border patrols amid stable relations. Occasional reports of troop movements prompt nationalist rhetoric but resolve diplomatically without incident. Traders should monitor for provocative actions, such as incursions or domestic political pressures, ahead of any resolution date, though de-escalation signals dominate current postures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Marché ouvert : Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$61,135Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.Longstanding territorial disputes between Thailand and Cambodia, centered on the Preah Vihear temple area ruled Cambodian by the International Court of Justice in 1962 and 2013, have led to deadly border clashes as recently as 2011 but remain demilitarized since. No major military or diplomatic escalations have occurred in the past 30 days, with both nations prioritizing ASEAN cooperation, trade, and joint border patrols amid stable relations. Occasional reports of troop movements prompt nationalist rhetoric but resolve diplomatically without incident. Traders should monitor for provocative actions, such as incursions or domestic political pressures, ahead of any resolution date, though de-escalation signals dominate current postures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Thailand initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Cambodian soil or any Cambodian embassy or consulate by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Thai military forces that impact Cambodian ground territory or any official Cambodian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Cambodian soil is hit by an Thailand missile, this market will resolve to "Yes") that is officially acknowledged by the Thailand government or a consensus of credible reporting.
Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Cambodian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Thai ground operatives will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity as to whether a qualifying strike occurred, this market may remain open after resolution time for confirming evidence.
Volume
$61,135Date de fin
Jun 30, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 29, 2025, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Longstanding territorial disputes between Thailand and Cambodia, centered on the Preah Vihear temple area ruled Cambodian by the International Court of Justice in 1962 and 2013, have led to deadly border clashes as recently as 2011 but remain demilitarized since. No major military or diplomatic escalations have occurred in the past 30 days, with both nations prioritizing ASEAN cooperation, trade, and joint border patrols amid stable relations. Occasional reports of troop movements prompt nationalist rhetoric but resolve diplomatically without incident. Traders should monitor for provocative actions, such as incursions or domestic political pressures, ahead of any resolution date, though de-escalation signals dominate current postures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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