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Économie·Australie

Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en mars ?

Market icon
Économie·Australie

Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en mars ?

Ended: mars 17

mai 5

juin 16

Ended: mars 17

mai 5

juin 16

Augmentation 100.0%

Diminution <1%

Aucun Changement <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Augmentation 100.0%

Diminution <1%

Aucun Changement <1%

Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Diminution

$0 Vol.

Non

Aucun Changement

$0 Vol.

Non

Augmentation

$0 Vol.

Oui

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its March 17, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their March 17, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors a Reserve Bank of Australia rate increase to 4.6% at the March 18 meeting, with 78.5% implied probability, driven by persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in Q4 2024, but underlying trimmed mean held at 3.2%—above the 2-3% target—while unemployment ticked up slightly to 4.1% amid robust job gains exceeding 50,000 in December. The RBA's February hold with hawkish forward guidance signaled readiness to tighten if needed, contrasting global easing cycles. No-change odds at 20% reflect some bet on data softening, but negligible decrease probability underscores bullish economic momentum positioning hike as consensus.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its March 17, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their March 17, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
17 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its March 17, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their March 17, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its March 17, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their March 17, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Trader sentiment on Polymarket heavily favors a Reserve Bank of Australia rate increase to 4.6% at the March 18 meeting, with 78.5% implied probability, driven by persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labor market. Headline CPI eased to 2.8% in Q4 2024, but underlying trimmed mean held at 3.2%—above the 2-3% target—while unemployment ticked up slightly to 4.1% amid robust job gains exceeding 50,000 in December. The RBA's February hold with hawkish forward guidance signaled readiness to tighten if needed, contrasting global easing cycles. No-change odds at 20% reflect some bet on data softening, but negligible decrease probability underscores bullish economic momentum positioning hike as consensus.

This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.

The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its March 17, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html

This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their March 17, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
17 mars 2026
Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 5:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the cash rate resulting from the Reserve Bank of Australia Monetary Policy Board’s March meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Reserve Bank of Australia after its March 17, 2026 meeting, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of Australia calendar: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/board-meeting-schedules.html This market may resolve as soon as the Reserve Bank of Australia's media release for their March 17, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the target for the cash rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

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Questions fréquentes

« Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en mars ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Augmentation » à 100%, suivi de « Diminution » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en mars ? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Dec 23, 2025. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en mars ? », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en mars ? » est « Augmentation » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Diminution » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Décision de la Reserve Bank of Australia en mars ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.