Polymarket traders price a 68% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Korea's 2.50% base rate at its July meeting, reflecting steady monetary policy amid resilient Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.7% quarter-on-quarter—the strongest since 2020—offsetting persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-on-year, a 21-month high driven by Middle East tensions spiking oil import costs and a weakening won near 1,480 per dollar, prompting a senior BOK official on May 3 to signal consideration of rate hikes amid upside inflation risks above 2.2%. The 31% hike odds capture this hawkish shift, while cuts at 0.4% remain negligible given solid growth; watch the May 28 decision for forward guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBank of Korea decision in July?
Bank of Korea decision in July?
Aucun changement 68%
Augmentation 31%
Diminution <1%
$13,033 Vol.
$13,033 Vol.
Diminution
<1%
Aucun changement
73%
Augmentation
31%
Aucun changement 68%
Augmentation 31%
Diminution <1%
$13,033 Vol.
$13,033 Vol.
Diminution
<1%
Aucun changement
73%
Augmentation
31%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 68% implied probability for no change in the Bank of Korea's 2.50% base rate at its July meeting, reflecting steady monetary policy amid resilient Q1 2026 GDP growth of 1.7% quarter-on-quarter—the strongest since 2020—offsetting persistent inflation pressures. April 2026 CPI accelerated to 2.6% year-on-year, a 21-month high driven by Middle East tensions spiking oil import costs and a weakening won near 1,480 per dollar, prompting a senior BOK official on May 3 to signal consideration of rate hikes amid upside inflation risks above 2.2%. The 31% hike odds capture this hawkish shift, while cuts at 0.4% remain negligible given solid growth; watch the May 28 decision for forward guidance.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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