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icon for Uber # of trips above __ in Q1?
Finance·ICP

Uber # of trips above __ in Q1?

icon for Uber # of trips above __ in Q1?
Finance·ICP

Uber # of trips above __ in Q1?

$29,792 Vol.

6 mai 2026
Polymarket

$29,792 Vol.

Polymarket

3.2B

$2,481 Vol.

Yes

3.4B

$3,135 Vol.

Yes

3.6B

$5,095 Vol.

Yes

3.8B

$8,281 Vol.

No

4B

$613 Vol.

No

4.2B

$221 Vol.

No

4.4B

$803 Vol.

No

4.6B

$1,106 Vol.

No

4.8B

$4,792 Vol.

No

5B

$3,264 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high implied probability for Uber's Q1 2026 trips exceeding 3.6 billion—building on Q4 2025's 3.8 billion figure, which reflected 22% year-over-year growth—driven by cheaper ride promotions boosting volume, Expedia hotel bookings integration, and sustained travel demand amid favorable macroeconomic conditions. Gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, with street estimates at $52.9 billion (up 23% YoY), underpins expectations for revenue around $13.27 billion (15% growth) and adjusted EBITDA expansion. Key watchpoints include trip growth details versus Q1 2025's 3.0 billion baseline and forward guidance on robotaxi investments, with resolution tied to today's May 6 earnings release before market open.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$29,792
Date de fin
6 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a high implied probability for Uber's Q1 2026 trips exceeding 3.6 billion—building on Q4 2025's 3.8 billion figure, which reflected 22% year-over-year growth—driven by cheaper ride promotions boosting volume, Expedia hotel bookings integration, and sustained travel demand amid favorable macroeconomic conditions. Gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, with street estimates at $52.9 billion (up 23% YoY), underpins expectations for revenue around $13.27 billion (15% growth) and adjusted EBITDA expansion. Key watchpoints include trip growth details versus Q1 2025's 3.0 billion baseline and forward guidance on robotaxi investments, with resolution tied to today's May 6 earnings release before market open.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.

The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.

Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
Volume
$29,792
Date de fin
6 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Uber # of trips above __ in Q1? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 3.2B » à 100%, suivi de « 3.4B » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Uber # of trips above __ in Q1? » a généré $29.8K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 14, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Uber # of trips above __ in Q1? », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Uber # of trips above __ in Q1? » est « 3.2B » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 3.4B » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Uber # of trips above __ in Q1? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.