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Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028

Market icon
Élections·Élections Mondiales

Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.9%

Polymarket

$489,228,768 Vol.

JD Vance 17.6%

Gavin Newsom 17.1%

Marco Rubio 10.2%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 5.9%

Polymarket

$489,228,768 Vol.

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JD Vance

$9,667,605 Vol.

18%

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Gavin Newsom

$9,723,384 Vol.

17%

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Marco Rubio

$5,509,643 Vol.

10%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$10,570,659 Vol.

6%

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Jon Ossoff

$3,237,442 Vol.

3%

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Kamala Harris

$6,677,050 Vol.

3%

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Tucker Carlson

$9,625,354 Vol.

3%

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Donald Trump

$6,729,211 Vol.

2%

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Josh Shapiro

$5,431,890 Vol.

2%

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Pete Buttigieg

$3,540,266 Vol.

2%

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Ron DeSantis

$5,999,359 Vol.

2%

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Andy Beshear

$16,034,463 Vol.

1%

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JB Pritzker

$10,477,713 Vol.

1%

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James Talarico

$3,882,775 Vol.

1%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$5,821,467 Vol.

1%

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Michelle Obama

$13,444,931 Vol.

1%

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Elon Musk

$22,243,081 Vol.

1%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$7,896,789 Vol.

1%

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Jamie Dimon

$7,402,585 Vol.

1%

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Titre du groupe d'éléments : Greg Abbott

$31,590,204 Vol.

1%

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Wes Moore

$5,896,369 Vol.

1%

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Ivanka Trump

$4,237,789 Vol.

1%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$8,728,046 Vol.

1%

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Ro Khanna

$6,210,257 Vol.

1%

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Thomas Massie

$3,505,874 Vol.

1%

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Nikki Haley

$21,355,767 Vol.

1%

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Tim Walz

$38,896,862 Vol.

1%

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Glenn Youngkin

$20,110,915 Vol.

1%

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Stephen Smith

$28,762,633 Vol.

1%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$27,498,625 Vol.

1%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$29,721,544 Vol.

1%

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Zohran Mamdani

$16,731,560 Vol.

1%

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Eric Trump

$5,722,508 Vol.

1%

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LeBron James

$43,796,718 Vol.

1%

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Pete Hegseth

$2,487,860 Vol.

1%

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Kim Kardashian

$30,063,375 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom lead Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner odds at 17.6% and 17.1%, respectively, reflecting trader consensus on their strong positioning as presumptive party nominees amid an open field following President Trump's second term. Recent market tightening stems from Vance's odds dipping below 20% after a March CPAC straw poll where he won 53% but Marco Rubio surged to 35% with reports of Trump's favorable comments on Rubio's electability, boosting the Florida senator to 10.2%. Newsom holds steady as the Democratic frontrunner despite low favorability in early polls. The race remains fluid ahead of 2026 midterms, which could elevate governors or senators via battleground performances, fundraising edges, or party endorsements, potentially clarifying Electoral College paths.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$489,228,768
Date de fin
7 nov. 2028
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.Vice President JD Vance and California Governor Gavin Newsom lead Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner odds at 17.6% and 17.1%, respectively, reflecting trader consensus on their strong positioning as presumptive party nominees amid an open field following President Trump's second term. Recent market tightening stems from Vance's odds dipping below 20% after a March CPAC straw poll where he won 53% but Marco Rubio surged to 35% with reports of Trump's favorable comments on Rubio's electability, boosting the Florida senator to 10.2%. Newsom holds steady as the Democratic frontrunner despite low favorability in early polls. The race remains fluid ahead of 2026 midterms, which could elevate governors or senators via battleground performances, fundraising edges, or party endorsements, potentially clarifying Electoral College paths.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$489,228,768
Date de fin
7 nov. 2028
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 36 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « JD Vance » à 18%, suivi de « Gavin Newsom » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 18¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 18% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 » a généré $489.2 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 11, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 », parcourez les 36 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 » est « JD Vance » à 18%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 18% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Gavin Newsom » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection présidentielle de 2028 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.