Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations for Seoul's official station confirm total March 2026 precipitation at approximately 42mm, measured via standard rain gauges accumulating liquid-equivalent rainfall and melted snow, propelling market-implied odds to 99.6% for the 40-45mm bin as the month concluded on March 31. This positioning reflects drier-than-average early March conditions—below the 37mm climatological norm—followed by moderate spring rains around March 29-30 adding the decisive 12-15mm, with negligible final-day totals. Trader consensus embodies skin-in-the-game alignment with verified data, though rare scenarios like post-audit gauge recalibrations or inclusion of overlooked snowmelt could nudge totals toward adjacent bins; final KMA monthly summary expected soon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourPrecipitation in Seoul in March?
Precipitation in Seoul in March?
40-45 mm 99.6%
35-40 mm <1%
30-35 mm <1%
50-55 mm <1%
$54,212 Vol.
$54,212 Vol.
<30 mm
<1%
30-35 mm
1%
35-40 mm
1%
40-45 mm
100%
45-50 mm
<1%
50-55 mm
<1%
55-60 mm
<1%
60 mm+
<1%
40-45 mm 99.6%
35-40 mm <1%
30-35 mm <1%
50-55 mm <1%
$54,212 Vol.
$54,212 Vol.
<30 mm
<1%
30-35 mm
1%
35-40 mm
1%
40-45 mm
100%
45-50 mm
<1%
50-55 mm
<1%
55-60 mm
<1%
60 mm+
<1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 13, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026.
If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations for Seoul's official station confirm total March 2026 precipitation at approximately 42mm, measured via standard rain gauges accumulating liquid-equivalent rainfall and melted snow, propelling market-implied odds to 99.6% for the 40-45mm bin as the month concluded on March 31. This positioning reflects drier-than-average early March conditions—below the 37mm climatological norm—followed by moderate spring rains around March 29-30 adding the decisive 12-15mm, with negligible final-day totals. Trader consensus embodies skin-in-the-game alignment with verified data, though rare scenarios like post-audit gauge recalibrations or inclusion of overlooked snowmelt could nudge totals toward adjacent bins; final KMA monthly summary expected soon.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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