Trader consensus favors Fuerza Popular (FP) at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Chamber of Deputies in the April 12, 2026 general elections, driven by recent Datum Internacional polls (March 2026) simulating FP securing 38 escaños amid proportional representation with a 5% national threshold and district allocations. Juntos por el Perú (JP) and Renovación Popular (RP) trail closely at 24.6% and 24.0%, reflecting fragmented voter intentions where Keiko Fujimori (FP) and Rafael López Aliaga (RP) lead fragmented presidential polls with 10-17% support each, high undecideds (15-30%), and potential coattails. Ipsos simulations (early March) tied FP and RP at 32 seats apiece, but Datum's fresher projections edged FP ahead; ongoing televised debates and ballot printing heighten uncertainty ahead of the first bicameral Congress vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des députés du Pérou
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des députés du Pérou
FP 36%
RP 24%
JP 22.8%
APP 4.5%
$26,852 Vol.
$26,852 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
36%
PL
<1%
AP
<1%
APP
5%
AvP
<1%
RP
24%
SP
3%
PP
<1%
JP
23%
FP 36%
RP 24%
JP 22.8%
APP 4.5%
$26,852 Vol.
$26,852 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
$3,315 Vol.
36%
PL
$679 Vol.
<1%
AP
$7,264 Vol.
<1%
APP
$2,096 Vol.
5%
AvP
$588 Vol.
<1%
RP
$2,008 Vol.
24%
SP
$2,478 Vol.
3%
PP
$1,190 Vol.
<1%
JP
$7,234 Vol.
23%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus favors Fuerza Popular (FP) at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Chamber of Deputies in the April 12, 2026 general elections, driven by recent Datum Internacional polls (March 2026) simulating FP securing 38 escaños amid proportional representation with a 5% national threshold and district allocations. Juntos por el Perú (JP) and Renovación Popular (RP) trail closely at 24.6% and 24.0%, reflecting fragmented voter intentions where Keiko Fujimori (FP) and Rafael López Aliaga (RP) lead fragmented presidential polls with 10-17% support each, high undecideds (15-30%), and potential coattails. Ipsos simulations (early March) tied FP and RP at 32 seats apiece, but Datum's fresher projections edged FP ahead; ongoing televised debates and ballot printing heighten uncertainty ahead of the first bicameral Congress vote.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$26,852Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Trader consensus favors Fuerza Popular (FP) at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Chamber of Deputies in the April 12, 2026 general elections, driven by recent Datum Internacional polls (March 2026) simulating FP securing 38 escaños amid proportional representation with a 5% national threshold and district allocations. Juntos por el Perú (JP) and Renovación Popular (RP) trail closely at 24.6% and 24.0%, reflecting fragmented voter intentions where Keiko Fujimori (FP) and Rafael López Aliaga (RP) lead fragmented presidential polls with 10-17% support each, high undecideds (15-30%), and potential coattails. Ipsos simulations (early March) tied FP and RP at 32 seats apiece, but Datum's fresher projections edged FP ahead; ongoing televised debates and ballot printing heighten uncertainty ahead of the first bicameral Congress vote.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$26,852Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Fuerza Popular (FP) at 36.5% to win the most seats in Peru's Chamber of Deputies in the April 12, 2026 general elections, driven by recent Datum Internacional polls (March 2026) simulating FP securing 38 escaños amid proportional representation with a 5% national threshold and district allocations. Juntos por el Perú (JP) and Renovación Popular (RP) trail closely at 24.6% and 24.0%, reflecting fragmented voter intentions where Keiko Fujimori (FP) and Rafael López Aliaga (RP) lead fragmented presidential polls with 10-17% support each, high undecideds (15-30%), and potential coattails. Ipsos simulations (early March) tied FP and RP at 32 seats apiece, but Datum's fresher projections edged FP ahead; ongoing televised debates and ballot printing heighten uncertainty ahead of the first bicameral Congress vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes