Recent Ipsos polls from March 21-22 position Fuerza Popular (FP) as the leading party for the Chamber of Deputies with 14.6% national vote intention, closely trailed by Renovación Popular (RP) at 13.2% and Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 9.6%, amid a highly fragmented field of over 40 parties under proportional representation and high undecided rates near 20%. These surveys, echoed by Datum's late-March projections of FP at around 38 seats and RP at 35, drive trader consensus favoring FP for the most seats, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's competitive presidential polling against Rafael López Aliaga (RP), while JP shows upward momentum. With the April 12 election approaching, voter volatility and blank votes could still shift outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des députés du Pérou
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre des députés du Pérou
FP 36%
RP 25%
JP 22.8%
APP 4.3%
$26,921 Vol.
$26,921 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
36%
PL
<1%
AP
<1%
APP
4%
AvP
<1%
RP
25%
SP
3%
PP
<1%
JP
23%
FP 36%
RP 25%
JP 22.8%
APP 4.3%
$26,921 Vol.
$26,921 Vol.
Apr 12, 2026
FP
$3,315 Vol.
36%
PL
$686 Vol.
<1%
AP
$7,264 Vol.
<1%
APP
$2,096 Vol.
4%
AvP
$593 Vol.
<1%
RP
$2,008 Vol.
25%
SP
$2,478 Vol.
3%
PP
$1,246 Vol.
<1%
JP
$7,234 Vol.
23%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent Ipsos polls from March 21-22 position Fuerza Popular (FP) as the leading party for the Chamber of Deputies with 14.6% national vote intention, closely trailed by Renovación Popular (RP) at 13.2% and Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 9.6%, amid a highly fragmented field of over 40 parties under proportional representation and high undecided rates near 20%. These surveys, echoed by Datum's late-March projections of FP at around 38 seats and RP at 35, drive trader consensus favoring FP for the most seats, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's competitive presidential polling against Rafael López Aliaga (RP), while JP shows upward momentum. With the April 12 election approaching, voter volatility and blank votes could still shift outcomes.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Volume
$26,921Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).Recent Ipsos polls from March 21-22 position Fuerza Popular (FP) as the leading party for the Chamber of Deputies with 14.6% national vote intention, closely trailed by Renovación Popular (RP) at 13.2% and Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 9.6%, amid a highly fragmented field of over 40 parties under proportional representation and high undecided rates near 20%. These surveys, echoed by Datum's late-March projections of FP at around 38 seats and RP at 35, drive trader consensus favoring FP for the most seats, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's competitive presidential polling against Rafael López Aliaga (RP), while JP shows upward momentum. With the April 12 election approaching, voter volatility and blank votes could still shift outcomes.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Peruvian Chamber of Deputies election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 Peruvian general election is conducted under a unicameral legislative system, this market will resolve based on the results of that unicameral congressional election.
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Peruvian Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/).
Volume
$26,921Date de fin
Apr 12, 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Ipsos polls from March 21-22 position Fuerza Popular (FP) as the leading party for the Chamber of Deputies with 14.6% national vote intention, closely trailed by Renovación Popular (RP) at 13.2% and Juntos por el Perú (JP) at 9.6%, amid a highly fragmented field of over 40 parties under proportional representation and high undecided rates near 20%. These surveys, echoed by Datum's late-March projections of FP at around 38 seats and RP at 35, drive trader consensus favoring FP for the most seats, bolstered by Keiko Fujimori's competitive presidential polling against Rafael López Aliaga (RP), while JP shows upward momentum. With the April 12 election approaching, voter volatility and blank votes could still shift outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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