Trader consensus gives the Democratic nominee a 53.5% implied probability to win Ohio's open 2026 gubernatorial race, ahead of the Republican at 42%, driven by recent early polling averages showing a slim Democratic lead in this battleground state despite its Republican-leaning partisan voter index. The term-limited Republican incumbent Mike DeWine's exit has spotlighted GOP frontrunner Secretary of State Frank LaRose, whose primary announcement drew mixed party reactions amid fundraising gaps, while Democrats eye strong recruits like former state health director Amy Acton leveraging post-Roe abortion rights support among suburban swing voters. Economic pressures in manufacturing hubs and high early 2024 presidential turnout favoring Republicans add uncertainty ahead of 2026 primaries and the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$68,328 Vol.
$68,328 Vol.

Démocrate
54%

Républicain
43%
$68,328 Vol.
$68,328 Vol.

Démocrate
54%

Républicain
43%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
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0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus gives the Democratic nominee a 53.5% implied probability to win Ohio's open 2026 gubernatorial race, ahead of the Republican at 42%, driven by recent early polling averages showing a slim Democratic lead in this battleground state despite its Republican-leaning partisan voter index. The term-limited Republican incumbent Mike DeWine's exit has spotlighted GOP frontrunner Secretary of State Frank LaRose, whose primary announcement drew mixed party reactions amid fundraising gaps, while Democrats eye strong recruits like former state health director Amy Acton leveraging post-Roe abortion rights support among suburban swing voters. Economic pressures in manufacturing hubs and high early 2024 presidential turnout favoring Republicans add uncertainty ahead of 2026 primaries and the general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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