Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting preliminary FAA data showing around 6500 delays amid favorable spring weather across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and New York, with no widespread ground stops, staffing shortages, or severe storms reported. This commanding position stems from real-time tracking by FlightAware and DOT dashboards confirming below-average disruptions, down from peaks earlier in winter due to resolved air traffic control bottlenecks and airline operational improvements. Scenarios that could challenge this include late revisions from final Bureau of Transportation Statistics audits uncovering underreported tarmac delays or a post hoc FAA adjustment for canceled-then-delayed flights, though such shifts are rare absent new evidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour<8000 99.0%
9000-9500 2.5%
9500-10000 2.2%
10000-10500 1.8%
$16,284 Vol.
$16,284 Vol.
<8000
99%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
2%
9500-10000
2%
10000-10500
2%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
<8000 99.0%
9000-9500 2.5%
9500-10000 2.2%
10000-10500 1.8%
$16,284 Vol.
$16,284 Vol.
<8000
99%
8000-8500
1%
8500-9000
1%
9000-9500
2%
9500-10000
2%
10000-10500
2%
10500-11000
1%
>11000
1%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors fewer than 8000 US flight delays on March 25, reflecting preliminary FAA data showing around 6500 delays amid favorable spring weather across major hubs like Atlanta, Chicago, and New York, with no widespread ground stops, staffing shortages, or severe storms reported. This commanding position stems from real-time tracking by FlightAware and DOT dashboards confirming below-average disruptions, down from peaks earlier in winter due to resolved air traffic control bottlenecks and airline operational improvements. Scenarios that could challenge this include late revisions from final Bureau of Transportation Statistics audits uncovering underreported tarmac delays or a post hoc FAA adjustment for canceled-then-delayed flights, though such shifts are rare absent new evidence.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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