Trader consensus on the NJ-12 Democratic primary reflects a fragmented field after Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement, with Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (32%) and Brad Cohen (31%) leading narrowly amid high undecided voters shown in recent Emerson polling (Reynolds-Jackson 22%, Cohen 18%, Altman 13%). The race stays tight due to 12 candidates splitting progressive and moderate support in this diverse central New Jersey district, plus limited endorsements and fundraising edges failing to consolidate backing yet. Separation could emerge from Watson Coleman's pending endorsement, the June 1 debate, final FEC reports, or early voting data ahead of the June 4 primary, as traders weigh these catalysts for late momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourBrad Cohen 31%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Adam Hamawy 20%
Susan Altman 16%
Brad Cohen
31%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
32%
Adam Hamawy
20%
Susan Altman
22%
Michael Anderson
15%
Adrian Mapp
8%
Matthew Adams
5%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Tennille R. McCoy
13%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
Brad Cohen 31%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson 25%
Adam Hamawy 20%
Susan Altman 16%
Brad Cohen
31%
Verlina Reynolds-Jackson
32%
Adam Hamawy
20%
Susan Altman
22%
Michael Anderson
15%
Adrian Mapp
8%
Matthew Adams
5%
Elijah Dixon
3%
Tennille R. McCoy
13%
Kyle Little
2%
Raymond Heck
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the NJ-12 Democratic primary reflects a fragmented field after Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement, with Verlina Reynolds-Jackson (32%) and Brad Cohen (31%) leading narrowly amid high undecided voters shown in recent Emerson polling (Reynolds-Jackson 22%, Cohen 18%, Altman 13%). The race stays tight due to 12 candidates splitting progressive and moderate support in this diverse central New Jersey district, plus limited endorsements and fundraising edges failing to consolidate backing yet. Separation could emerge from Watson Coleman's pending endorsement, the June 1 debate, final FEC reports, or early voting data ahead of the June 4 primary, as traders weigh these catalysts for late momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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