Traders heavily favor under 5,000 US flight delays on March 24, reflecting expectations of routine operations amid mild weather forecasts nationwide and no major disruptions like FAA system failures or airline strikes. Bureau of Transportation Statistics data shows typical daily delays averaging 3,000-4,500 on comparable spring Sundays with 45,000+ flights scheduled, bolstering this 95.9% consensus as the wisdom-of-crowds baseline. Recent stability follows winter storm recoveries, with real-time trackers like FlightAware indicating on-schedule departures early in the day. Challenges could arise from unforeseen events such as sudden convective weather in the Southeast, crew shortages, or technical glitches at key airports like Atlanta or Chicago, potentially pushing totals into 5,000-6,500 ranges if cascading effects hit. Monitor DOT evening reports for final tallies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour<5000 95.9%
6000-6500 1.4%
5000-5500 <1%
5500-6000 <1%
$28,486 Vol.
$28,486 Vol.
<5000
96%
5000-5500
1%
5500-6000
1%
6000-6500
1%
6 500-7 000
<1%
7000-7500
<1%
7 500-8 000
<1%
>8000
<1%
<5000 95.9%
6000-6500 1.4%
5000-5500 <1%
5500-6000 <1%
$28,486 Vol.
$28,486 Vol.
<5000
96%
5000-5500
1%
5500-6000
1%
6000-6500
1%
6 500-7 000
<1%
7000-7500
<1%
7 500-8 000
<1%
>8000
<1%
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 23, 2026, 6:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders heavily favor under 5,000 US flight delays on March 24, reflecting expectations of routine operations amid mild weather forecasts nationwide and no major disruptions like FAA system failures or airline strikes. Bureau of Transportation Statistics data shows typical daily delays averaging 3,000-4,500 on comparable spring Sundays with 45,000+ flights scheduled, bolstering this 95.9% consensus as the wisdom-of-crowds baseline. Recent stability follows winter storm recoveries, with real-time trackers like FlightAware indicating on-schedule departures early in the day. Challenges could arise from unforeseen events such as sudden convective weather in the Southeast, crew shortages, or technical glitches at key airports like Atlanta or Chicago, potentially pushing totals into 5,000-6,500 ranges if cascading effects hit. Monitor DOT evening reports for final tallies.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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