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Géopolitique·Japon

Japan House of Councillors Election

Market icon
Géopolitique·Japon

Japan House of Councillors Election

LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) 100.0%

JIP (Japan Innovation Party) <1%

NKP (Komeito) <1%

JCP (Japan Communist Party) <1%

Polymarket

$744,739 Vol.

LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) 100.0%

JIP (Japan Innovation Party) <1%

NKP (Komeito) <1%

JCP (Japan Communist Party) <1%

Polymarket

$744,739 Vol.

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JIP (Japan Innovation Party)

$61,052 Vol.

No

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LDP (Liberal Democratic Party)

$258,640 Vol.

Yes

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NKP (Komeito)

$46,789 Vol.

No

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JCP (Japan Communist Party)

$49,431 Vol.

No

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DPP (Democratic Party For the People)

$51,556 Vol.

No

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DIY (Sanseitō)

$56,766 Vol.

No

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Reiwa

$35,592 Vol.

No

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NHK (Mintsuku)

$33,286 Vol.

No

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CDP (Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan)

$68,439 Vol.

No

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SDP (Social Democratic Party)

$47,870 Vol.

No

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CPJ (Conservative Party of Japan)

$35,319 Vol.

No

The 27th general election of the House of Councillors is scheduled to be held in Japan by July 27, 2025, to elect half of the 248 members of the House of Councillors, the upper house of the National Diet, for a term of six years. This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Japan's House of Councillors as a result of the upcoming election, not any coalition of which it may be a part. If voting in the next Japanese election for the House of Councillors does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed for a party, the name of that party will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based solely on the certified results as reported by Japan's government, specifically the Central Election Management Council (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&toukei=00200236). Certified results are typically published within 5 days of the election.

The 27th general election of the House of Councillors is scheduled to be held in Japan by July 27, 2025, to elect half of the 248 members of the House of Councillors, the upper house of the National Diet, for a term of six years.

This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Japan's House of Councillors as a result of the upcoming election, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

If voting in the next Japanese election for the House of Councillors does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed for a party, the name of that party will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based solely on the certified results as reported by Japan's government, specifically the Central Election Management Council (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&toukei=00200236). Certified results are typically published within 5 days of the election.
Volume
$744,739
Date de fin
27 juil. 2025
Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2025, 7:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 27th general election of the House of Councillors is scheduled to be held in Japan by July 27, 2025, to elect half of the 248 members of the House of Councillors, the upper house of the National Diet, for a term of six years. This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Japan's House of Councillors as a result of the upcoming election, not any coalition of which it may be a part. If voting in the next Japanese election for the House of Councillors does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed for a party, the name of that party will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based solely on the certified results as reported by Japan's government, specifically the Central Election Management Council (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&toukei=00200236). Certified results are typically published within 5 days of the election.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

The 27th general election of the House of Councillors is scheduled to be held in Japan by July 27, 2025, to elect half of the 248 members of the House of Councillors, the upper house of the National Diet, for a term of six years. This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Japan's House of Councillors as a result of the upcoming election, not any coalition of which it may be a part. If voting in the next Japanese election for the House of Councillors does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed for a party, the name of that party will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based solely on the certified results as reported by Japan's government, specifically the Central Election Management Council (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&toukei=00200236). Certified results are typically published within 5 days of the election.

The 27th general election of the House of Councillors is scheduled to be held in Japan by July 27, 2025, to elect half of the 248 members of the House of Councillors, the upper house of the National Diet, for a term of six years.

This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Japan's House of Councillors as a result of the upcoming election, not any coalition of which it may be a part.

If voting in the next Japanese election for the House of Councillors does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed for a party, the name of that party will be used.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.

This market will resolve based solely on the certified results as reported by Japan's government, specifically the Central Election Management Council (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&toukei=00200236). Certified results are typically published within 5 days of the election.
Volume
$744,739
Date de fin
27 juil. 2025
Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2025, 7:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 27th general election of the House of Councillors is scheduled to be held in Japan by July 27, 2025, to elect half of the 248 members of the House of Councillors, the upper house of the National Diet, for a term of six years. This market will resolve to the political party that controls the most seats in Japan's House of Councillors as a result of the upcoming election, not any coalition of which it may be a part. If voting in the next Japanese election for the House of Councillors does not occur by December 31, 2025, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between a party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed for a party, the name of that party will be used. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based solely on the certified results as reported by Japan's government, specifically the Central Election Management Council (https://www.e-stat.go.jp/stat-search/files?page=1&toukei=00200236). Certified results are typically published within 5 days of the election.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Japan House of Councillors Election » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) » à 100%, suivi de « JIP (Japan Innovation Party) » à 0%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Japan House of Councillors Election » a généré $744.7K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jun 10, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Japan House of Councillors Election », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Japan House of Councillors Election » est « LDP (Liberal Democratic Party) » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « JIP (Japan Innovation Party) » à 0%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Japan House of Councillors Election » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.