Market icon

Élection présidentielle au Honduras : marge de victoire

Market icon

Élection présidentielle au Honduras : marge de victoire

Victoire d'Asfura 100.0%

Nasralla <3% <1%

Nasralla 3-6% <1%

Nasralla 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$290,709 Vol.

Victoire d'Asfura 100.0%

Nasralla <3% <1%

Nasralla 3-6% <1%

Nasralla 6-9% <1%

Polymarket

$290,709 Vol.

Nasralla <3%

$60,533 Vol.

Non

Nasralla 3-6%

$43,320 Vol.

Non

Nasralla 6-9%

$33,098 Vol.

Non

Nasralla 9%+

$12,086 Vol.

Non

Moncada <3%

$17,287 Vol.

Non

Moncada 3-6%

$9,708 Vol.

Non

Moncada 6%+

$16,821 Vol.

Non

Victoire d'Asfura

$97,856 Vol.

Oui

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election.

For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Honduran Presidential Election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Volume
$290,709
Date de fin
Nov 30, 2025
Marché ouvert
Nov 29, 2025, 3:44 PM ET
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Honduras on November 30, 2025. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the 2025 Honduran Presidential Election. For the purpose of this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first and second-place candidates. Percentages of the votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in the Honduran Presidential Election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the vote count has been made official. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the results of the election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Élection présidentielle au Honduras : marge de victoire" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Victoire d'Asfura" at 100%, followed by "Nasralla <3%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Élection présidentielle au Honduras : marge de victoire" has generated $290.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Élection présidentielle au Honduras : marge de victoire," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Élection présidentielle au Honduras : marge de victoire" is "Victoire d'Asfura" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Nasralla <3%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Élection présidentielle au Honduras : marge de victoire" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.