Trader consensus clusters tightly around 1–3°C for Toronto's March 28 high, with 3°C edging ahead at 22%, driven by the latest Environment Canada forecast projecting a daytime peak near 2–3°C amid a cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a 1–4°C spread, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing, while the Canadian GEM model tilts warmer toward 3°C. Historical late-March norms hover at 4–6°C, but a stubborn upper trough suppresses temperatures below seasonal averages, differentiating sub-2°C from 3°C+ via cloud persistence and wind chill effects. Watch Pearson Airport observations for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Toronto on March 28?
Highest temperature in Toronto on March 28?
3°C 28%
1°C 21%
2°C 19%
4°C 15%
-1°C ou moins
8%
0°C
10%
1°C
22%
2°C
20%
3°C
24%
4°C
15%
5°C
11%
6°C
9%
7°C
9%
8°C
6%
9°C or higher
1%
3°C 28%
1°C 21%
2°C 19%
4°C 15%
-1°C ou moins
8%
0°C
10%
1°C
22%
2°C
20%
3°C
24%
4°C
15%
5°C
11%
6°C
9%
7°C
9%
8°C
6%
9°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters tightly around 1–3°C for Toronto's March 28 high, with 3°C edging ahead at 22%, driven by the latest Environment Canada forecast projecting a daytime peak near 2–3°C amid a cool northerly airflow and scattered clouds. Ensemble models like ECMWF and GFS show a 1–4°C spread, reflecting uncertainty in afternoon clearing and boundary layer mixing, while the Canadian GEM model tilts warmer toward 3°C. Historical late-March norms hover at 4–6°C, but a stubborn upper trough suppresses temperatures below seasonal averages, differentiating sub-2°C from 3°C+ via cloud persistence and wind chill effects. Watch Pearson Airport observations for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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