Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 14°C high temperature in Seoul on April 1, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations at Incheon International Airport—the designated resolution station—peaking at 14.2°C around 11:00 KST before stabilizing at 14°C through 14:00 amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 6-10 kt. Clearing conditions post-15:00 led to rapid cooling to 8°C by evening, confirming no further warming. This subdued maximum deviates from Seoul's typical early April average of 17°C due to limited solar insolation from cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions by Wunderground archives from METAR discrepancies, though full-day records render this improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 1?
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$420,365 Vol.
$420,365 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
14°C 100.0%
15°C <1%
16°C or higher <1%
$420,365 Vol.
$420,365 Vol.
14°C
100%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 14°C high temperature in Seoul on April 1, driven by official Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) hourly observations at Incheon International Airport—the designated resolution station—peaking at 14.2°C around 11:00 KST before stabilizing at 14°C through 14:00 amid mostly cloudy skies and southwest winds of 6-10 kt. Clearing conditions post-15:00 led to rapid cooling to 8°C by evening, confirming no further warming. This subdued maximum deviates from Seoul's typical early April average of 17°C due to limited solar insolation from cloud cover. Realistic challenges include rare data revisions by Wunderground archives from METAR discrepancies, though full-day records render this improbable.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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