Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 21°C in Chongqing on April 1, driven by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) central station, which recorded a peak of 21.9°C in the past 24 hours ending early April 1, with no higher readings amid cloudy-to-rainy conditions and northwest winds limiting solar heating. Hourly data confirms midday maximums around 21°C, aligning with high humidity (87%) and short-term model forecasts from CMA showing cooling trends into evening. Historical early-April highs average 22°C, but a passing front has tempered warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset pushing 22°C or minor station measurement revisions, though low likelihood given consensus across GFS and ECMWF analogs. Final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 1?
21°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$134,883 Vol.
$134,883 Vol.
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99.6%
23°C <1%
22°C <1%
24°C <1%
$134,883 Vol.
$134,883 Vol.
21°C
100%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 4:18 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs a highest temperature of 21°C in Chongqing on April 1, driven by official observations from the China Meteorological Administration's (CMA) central station, which recorded a peak of 21.9°C in the past 24 hours ending early April 1, with no higher readings amid cloudy-to-rainy conditions and northwest winds limiting solar heating. Hourly data confirms midday maximums around 21°C, aligning with high humidity (87%) and short-term model forecasts from CMA showing cooling trends into evening. Historical early-April highs average 22°C, but a passing front has tempered warming. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing before sunset pushing 22°C or minor station measurement revisions, though low likelihood given consensus across GFS and ECMWF analogs. Final CMA daily summary expected post-midnight.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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