Eurozone headline HICP inflation surged to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% in February, per Eurostat's flash estimate released three days ago, propelled by soaring energy costs amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict and oil shocks. This uptick, slightly below consensus expectations of 2.6%, prompted the ECB to lift its 2026 average inflation forecast to 2.6% at its March 19 meeting while holding rates steady, signaling persistent upside risks above the 2% target. Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 47% implied probability for annual 2026 inflation exceeding 3.1%, reflecting concerns over entrenched price pressures and potential escalation, with 24.8% on 2.8-3.0%; core measures and April data due late this month loom as key catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourInflation annuelle de la zone euro 2026
Inflation annuelle de la zone euro 2026
3,1 %+ 47.0%
2,8-3,0 % 25.8%
2,2–2,4 % 14.7%
1,6–1,8 % 8.9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 janv. 2027
<1,0 %
3%
1,0–1,2 %
6%
1,3–1,5 %
6%
1,6–1,8 %
9%
1,9–2,1 %
8%
2,2–2,4 %
15%
2,5–2,7 %
6%
2,8-3,0 %
24%
3,1 %+
47%
3,1 %+ 47.0%
2,8-3,0 % 25.8%
2,2–2,4 % 14.7%
1,6–1,8 % 8.9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 janv. 2027
<1,0 %
$561 Vol.
3%
1,0–1,2 %
$470 Vol.
6%
1,3–1,5 %
$553 Vol.
6%
1,6–1,8 %
$511 Vol.
9%
1,9–2,1 %
$2,512 Vol.
8%
2,2–2,4 %
$544 Vol.
15%
2,5–2,7 %
$501 Vol.
6%
2,8-3,0 %
$536 Vol.
24%
3,1 %+
$952 Vol.
47%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone headline HICP inflation surged to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% in February, per Eurostat's flash estimate released three days ago, propelled by soaring energy costs amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict and oil shocks. This uptick, slightly below consensus expectations of 2.6%, prompted the ECB to lift its 2026 average inflation forecast to 2.6% at its March 19 meeting while holding rates steady, signaling persistent upside risks above the 2% target. Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 47% implied probability for annual 2026 inflation exceeding 3.1%, reflecting concerns over entrenched price pressures and potential escalation, with 24.8% on 2.8-3.0%; core measures and April data due late this month loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$7,140Date de fin
19 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlEurozone headline HICP inflation surged to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% in February, per Eurostat's flash estimate released three days ago, propelled by soaring energy costs amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict and oil shocks. This uptick, slightly below consensus expectations of 2.6%, prompted the ECB to lift its 2026 average inflation forecast to 2.6% at its March 19 meeting while holding rates steady, signaling persistent upside risks above the 2% target. Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 47% implied probability for annual 2026 inflation exceeding 3.1%, reflecting concerns over entrenched price pressures and potential escalation, with 24.8% on 2.8-3.0%; core measures and April data due late this month loom as key catalysts.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$7,140Date de fin
19 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone headline HICP inflation surged to 2.5% in March 2026 from 1.9% in February, per Eurostat's flash estimate released three days ago, propelled by soaring energy costs amid geopolitical tensions including the Iran conflict and oil shocks. This uptick, slightly below consensus expectations of 2.6%, prompted the ECB to lift its 2026 average inflation forecast to 2.6% at its March 19 meeting while holding rates steady, signaling persistent upside risks above the 2% target. Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, price a 47% implied probability for annual 2026 inflation exceeding 3.1%, reflecting concerns over entrenched price pressures and potential escalation, with 24.8% on 2.8-3.0%; core measures and April data due late this month loom as key catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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