Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 360-379 tweets by Elon Musk from March 17-24, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his sustained high-volume posting patterns on X, averaging 45-55 posts daily in recent months amid political commentary, SpaceX updates, and xAI developments. Historical data from high-activity weeks, including surges around government advisory roles and international diplomacy, consistently cluster in this range, reflecting the platform's role in his public communication strategy. Scenarios challenging this include reduced engagement from policy shifts at X, health-related pauses, or competing priorities like Tesla production ramps, potentially dropping totals below 360; escalated controversies could push toward 400+. Upcoming events like regulatory hearings may influence near-term pacing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourElon Musk # tweets 17 mars - 24 mars 2026 ?
Elon Musk # tweets 17 mars - 24 mars 2026 ?
360-379 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<20
Non
20-39
Non
40-59
Non
60-79
Non
80-99
Non
100-119
Non
120-139
Non
140-159
Non
160-179
Non
180-199
Non
200-219
Non
220-239
Non
240-259
Non
260-279
Non
280-299
Non
300-319
Non
320-339
Non
340-359
Non
360-379
Oui
380-399
Non
400-419
Non
420-439
Non
440-459
Non
460-479
Non
480-499
Non
500-519
Non
520-539
Non
540-559
Non
560-579
Non
580+
Non
360-379 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
<20
Non
20-39
Non
40-59
Non
60-79
Non
80-99
Non
100-119
Non
120-139
Non
140-159
Non
160-179
Non
180-199
Non
200-219
Non
220-239
Non
240-259
Non
260-279
Non
280-299
Non
300-319
Non
320-339
Non
340-359
Non
360-379
Oui
380-399
Non
400-419
Non
420-439
Non
440-459
Non
460-479
Non
480-499
Non
500-519
Non
520-539
Non
540-559
Non
560-579
Non
580+
Non
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 9, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 360-379 tweets by Elon Musk from March 17-24, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his sustained high-volume posting patterns on X, averaging 45-55 posts daily in recent months amid political commentary, SpaceX updates, and xAI developments. Historical data from high-activity weeks, including surges around government advisory roles and international diplomacy, consistently cluster in this range, reflecting the platform's role in his public communication strategy. Scenarios challenging this include reduced engagement from policy shifts at X, health-related pauses, or competing priorities like Tesla production ramps, potentially dropping totals below 360; escalated controversies could push toward 400+. Upcoming events like regulatory hearings may influence near-term pacing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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