California’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+16. Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2 primary to the November general election ballot, where the top-two format and voter registration advantage position the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors along with historical turnout patterns in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or an unforeseen local development such as a late scandal or significant candidate withdrawal to overcome the established margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-07 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
97%
Parti républicain
3%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$4,129 Vol.
97%
Parti républicain
$2,880 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+16. Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2 primary to the November general election ballot, where the top-two format and voter registration advantage position the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors along with historical turnout patterns in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or an unforeseen local development such as a late scandal or significant candidate withdrawal to overcome the established margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Volume
$7,009Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+16. Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2 primary to the November general election ballot, where the top-two format and voter registration advantage position the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors along with historical turnout patterns in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or an unforeseen local development such as a late scandal or significant candidate withdrawal to overcome the established margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$7,009Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic partisan lean, reflected in the incumbent’s consistent double-digit victories in recent cycles and a Cook Partisan Voter Index of roughly D+16. Doris Matsui advanced from the June 2 primary to the November general election ballot, where the top-two format and voter registration advantage position the Democratic nominee as the clear frontrunner. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for the Democratic Party incorporates these structural factors along with historical turnout patterns in the Sacramento-area district. A Republican victory would require an unusually large national midterm shift or an unforeseen local development such as a late scandal or significant candidate withdrawal to overcome the established margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes