In Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, a premier battleground race, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest with Republicans at 50% and Democrats at 48%, mirroring polling averages that show incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) and challenger state Rep. Christina Bohannan (D) tied or separated by 1-2 points in late October surveys from Emerson College and The Hill. Miller-Meeks' narrow 2020 victory by six votes after recount underscores the district's competitiveness around Cedar Rapids suburbs, where independents and moderate voters hold sway amid national GOP momentum from presidential polling but Democratic advantages in fundraising and volunteer turnout. Recent debates highlighted policy clashes on agriculture, inflation, and abortion without clear separation, keeping odds tight; early voting trends and final weekend mobilization could tip the balance before November 5 election night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourIA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
IA-02 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
39%
Parti démocrate
59%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Parti républicain
$0 Vol.
39%
Parti démocrate
$0 Vol.
59%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, a premier battleground race, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest with Republicans at 50% and Democrats at 48%, mirroring polling averages that show incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) and challenger state Rep. Christina Bohannan (D) tied or separated by 1-2 points in late October surveys from Emerson College and The Hill. Miller-Meeks' narrow 2020 victory by six votes after recount underscores the district's competitiveness around Cedar Rapids suburbs, where independents and moderate voters hold sway amid national GOP momentum from presidential polling but Democratic advantages in fundraising and volunteer turnout. Recent debates highlighted policy clashes on agriculture, inflation, and abortion without clear separation, keeping odds tight; early voting trends and final weekend mobilization could tip the balance before November 5 election night.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).In Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, a premier battleground race, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest with Republicans at 50% and Democrats at 48%, mirroring polling averages that show incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) and challenger state Rep. Christina Bohannan (D) tied or separated by 1-2 points in late October surveys from Emerson College and The Hill. Miller-Meeks' narrow 2020 victory by six votes after recount underscores the district's competitiveness around Cedar Rapids suburbs, where independents and moderate voters hold sway amid national GOP momentum from presidential polling but Democratic advantages in fundraising and volunteer turnout. Recent debates highlighted policy clashes on agriculture, inflation, and abortion without clear separation, keeping odds tight; early voting trends and final weekend mobilization could tip the balance before November 5 election night.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$0Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...In Iowa's 2nd Congressional District, a premier battleground race, trader consensus reflects a razor-thin contest with Republicans at 50% and Democrats at 48%, mirroring polling averages that show incumbent Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) and challenger state Rep. Christina Bohannan (D) tied or separated by 1-2 points in late October surveys from Emerson College and The Hill. Miller-Meeks' narrow 2020 victory by six votes after recount underscores the district's competitiveness around Cedar Rapids suburbs, where independents and moderate voters hold sway amid national GOP momentum from presidential polling but Democratic advantages in fundraising and volunteer turnout. Recent debates highlighted policy clashes on agriculture, inflation, and abortion without clear separation, keeping odds tight; early voting trends and final weekend mobilization could tip the balance before November 5 election night.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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