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icon for Prochain Premier ministre des Îles Cook
Politique·Nouvelle-Zélande

Prochain Premier ministre des Îles Cook

icon for Prochain Premier ministre des Îles Cook
Politique·Nouvelle-Zélande

Prochain Premier ministre des Îles Cook

Mark Brown 94.8%

Teariki Heather 1.1%

Tina Browne <1%

Polymarket

$44,950 Vol.

Mark Brown 94.8%

Teariki Heather 1.1%

Tina Browne <1%

Polymarket

$44,950 Vol.

icon for Mark Brown

Mark Brown

$35,116 Vol.

95%

icon for Teariki Heather

Teariki Heather

$4,281 Vol.

1%

icon for Tina Browne

Tina Browne

$5,553 Vol.

1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown's commanding 94.8% implied probability reflects his Cook Islands Party's strong performance in the August 12, 2026 general election, where it secured the most seats and positioned him to lead a second term. Traders view this outcome as highly likely given the party's plurality, Brown's incumbency since 2020, and his record on key issues such as foreign policy and economic development. Preliminary tallies show the party one seat short of an outright majority in the 24-seat parliament, requiring negotiations with independents or smaller parties for confirmation. Low odds for challengers like Teariki Heather (1.1%) and Tina Browne (0.9%) align with their parties' weaker results. Potential shifts could arise from failed coalition talks or unexpected parliamentary defections before the next prime minister is formally selected.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,950
Date de fin
12 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mark Brown's commanding 94.8% implied probability reflects his Cook Islands Party's strong performance in the August 12, 2026 general election, where it secured the most seats and positioned him to lead a second term. Traders view this outcome as highly likely given the party's plurality, Brown's incumbency since 2020, and his record on key issues such as foreign policy and economic development. Preliminary tallies show the party one seat short of an outright majority in the 24-seat parliament, requiring negotiations with independents or smaller parties for confirmation. Low odds for challengers like Teariki Heather (1.1%) and Tina Browne (0.9%) align with their parties' weaker results. Potential shifts could arise from failed coalition talks or unexpected parliamentary defections before the next prime minister is formally selected.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$44,950
Date de fin
12 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 16, 2026, 9:55 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Cook Islands; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Prochain Premier ministre des Îles Cook » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Mark Brown » à 95%, suivi de « Teariki Heather » à 1%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 95¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Prochain Premier ministre des Îles Cook » a généré $45K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Jul 16, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Prochain Premier ministre des Îles Cook », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Prochain Premier ministre des Îles Cook » est « Mark Brown » à 95%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 95% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Teariki Heather » à 1%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Prochain Premier ministre des Îles Cook » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.