Gary Cordery holds a 100% implied probability in the Hawaii Republican gubernatorial primary market following the August 8, 2026, contest against Ken Fujiyama. Traders price in his commanding position due to his prior 2022 candidacy, business background, and focus on issues like housing affordability and government accountability, which have drawn the limited support available within Hawaii’s small Republican electorate. With only two candidates filing and no significant late withdrawals or endorsements shifting momentum, the race lacked competitive dynamics that could have altered outcomes. Potential challenges remain narrow, such as delayed certification, unforeseen legal disputes over ballot access, or an unexpected recount in low-turnout precincts, though these have not materialized in recent reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGary Cordery 100.0%
Ken Fujiyama <1%
Bu Laia Hill <1%
$9,055 Vol.
$9,055 Vol.
Gary Cordery
Oui
Ken Fujiyama
Non
Bu Laia Hill
Non
Gary Cordery 100.0%
Ken Fujiyama <1%
Bu Laia Hill <1%
$9,055 Vol.
$9,055 Vol.
Gary Cordery
Oui
Ken Fujiyama
Non
Bu Laia Hill
Non
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Jul 14, 2026, 9:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
In the event that no primary election is held because the relevant party or state authorities determine that the party nominee for the relevant position will be chosen by a different method, this market will resolve in favor of the winner of such method. If, for any other reason, no 2026 Hawaii Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Hawaii Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Gary Cordery holds a 100% implied probability in the Hawaii Republican gubernatorial primary market following the August 8, 2026, contest against Ken Fujiyama. Traders price in his commanding position due to his prior 2022 candidacy, business background, and focus on issues like housing affordability and government accountability, which have drawn the limited support available within Hawaii’s small Republican electorate. With only two candidates filing and no significant late withdrawals or endorsements shifting momentum, the race lacked competitive dynamics that could have altered outcomes. Potential challenges remain narrow, such as delayed certification, unforeseen legal disputes over ballot access, or an unexpected recount in low-turnout precincts, though these have not materialized in recent reporting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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