Swiss voters will decide four measures on November 29, 2026, under the country’s direct democracy system: a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund expanded AVS pension payments, popular initiatives for fireworks restrictions and ending marriage-based tax disparities in federal taxation, and an optional referendum on Parliament’s amendment easing rules on war material exports and re-exports. Trader consensus, reflected in current pricing, treats the war material amendment and marriage taxation initiative as the leading contenders amid limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments since the June 2026 votes. The outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, cantonal majorities where required, and voter priorities around fiscal policy, security exports, and social equity issues, with historical precedent showing many Swiss initiatives fail to secure passage. No major catalysts have emerged in the past month to alter positioning ahead of the autumn campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRéférendum suisse de novembre : qu'est-ce qui va se passer ?
Référendum suisse de novembre : qu'est-ce qui va se passer ?
NOUVEAU
29 nov. 2026
Décret fédéral sur la TVA
61%
Initiative de restriction des feux d'artifice
33%
Initiative sur la fiscalité du mariage
24%
Amendement sur le matériel de guerre
68%
$3,569 Vol.
Décret fédéral sur la TVA
$862 Vol.
61%
Initiative de restriction des feux d'artifice
$2,384 Vol.
33%
Initiative sur la fiscalité du mariage
$125 Vol.
24%
Amendement sur le matériel de guerre
$198 Vol.
68%
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide four measures on November 29, 2026, under the country’s direct democracy system: a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund expanded AVS pension payments, popular initiatives for fireworks restrictions and ending marriage-based tax disparities in federal taxation, and an optional referendum on Parliament’s amendment easing rules on war material exports and re-exports. Trader consensus, reflected in current pricing, treats the war material amendment and marriage taxation initiative as the leading contenders amid limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments since the June 2026 votes. The outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, cantonal majorities where required, and voter priorities around fiscal policy, security exports, and social equity issues, with historical precedent showing many Swiss initiatives fail to secure passage. No major catalysts have emerged in the past month to alter positioning ahead of the autumn campaign.
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ET
Volume
$3,569Date de fin
29 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.Swiss voters will decide four measures on November 29, 2026, under the country’s direct democracy system: a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund expanded AVS pension payments, popular initiatives for fireworks restrictions and ending marriage-based tax disparities in federal taxation, and an optional referendum on Parliament’s amendment easing rules on war material exports and re-exports. Trader consensus, reflected in current pricing, treats the war material amendment and marriage taxation initiative as the leading contenders amid limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments since the June 2026 votes. The outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, cantonal majorities where required, and voter priorities around fiscal policy, security exports, and social equity issues, with historical precedent showing many Swiss initiatives fail to secure passage. No major catalysts have emerged in the past month to alter positioning ahead of the autumn campaign.
As of market creation, four referenda are scheduled to be held in Switzerland on November 29, 2026:
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
- Issue 1: Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT
- Issue 2: Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’
- Issue 3: Popular initiative ‘Yes to fair federal taxation for married couples – To finally put an end to marriage discrimination!’
- Issue 4: Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG)
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed referendum is approved under the applicable legal threshold in the specified popular vote. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the popular initiative or, where applicable, the federal counter-proposal is approved under the applicable legal threshold, regardless of any tie-breaker vote.
If the referendum is officially rescheduled, the same rule applies to the new ballot and its corresponding deadlines. This market will resolve to “No” if, for any reason, the results of the respective vote are not known definitively by the date the subsequent Referendum in Switzerland is scheduled to be held.
The resolution source will be based on a consensus of credible reporting. In the event of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official certified referendum results published by Swiss government authorities, such as the Swiss Federal Chancellery and the information portal provided by the Swiss authorities (https://www.ch.ch/en/votes-and-elections/). Subsequent litigation, administrative challenges, or failure of any post-approval implementation steps will not be considered.
Volume
$3,569Date de fin
29 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 13, 2026, 8:06 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Swiss voters will decide four measures on November 29, 2026, under the country’s direct democracy system: a mandatory referendum on raising VAT to fund expanded AVS pension payments, popular initiatives for fireworks restrictions and ending marriage-based tax disparities in federal taxation, and an optional referendum on Parliament’s amendment easing rules on war material exports and re-exports. Trader consensus, reflected in current pricing, treats the war material amendment and marriage taxation initiative as the leading contenders amid limited recent polling shifts or campaign developments since the June 2026 votes. The outcomes hinge on turnout patterns, cantonal majorities where required, and voter priorities around fiscal policy, security exports, and social equity issues, with historical precedent showing many Swiss initiatives fail to secure passage. No major catalysts have emerged in the past month to alter positioning ahead of the autumn campaign.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
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